A taker stepped up on NO, landing on the NO side of "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" — the NO side wins if Spencer Pratt does NOT win the Los Angeles Mayoral Election. 12,500 NO contracts at 74¢ each, totaling $9,250. The price slipped 2¢ over the 44-minute session window, settling at 26¢ on the YES side as NO flow dominated. The market currently prices Spencer Pratt's chances at approximately 26% implied probability on the YES side.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 45 minutes (11:37 AM to 12:22 PM ET), NO volume leads $11,573 to $5,238, price holding near 26¢. One $9,250 NO trade (12,500 contracts) accounts for 55% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,544 trades: 1,544 trades over 12.0 hours (12:22 AM to 12:22 PM ET), flow roughly balanced — $94,942 YES vs $87,508 NO, price holding near 26¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.