A taker stepped up on YES, landing on the YES side of the "Tampa Bay vs Baltimore Winner?" outcome — the YES side wins if Tampa Bay defeats Baltimore in the game originally scheduled for May 27, 2026. The trade moved 50,000 YES contracts at 51¢ each, totaling $25,500. The book absorbed the trade cleanly, with price holding flat at 51¢ — no slippage detected across the session's dominant YES flow. The market currently sits at 51¢ bid/ask, implying a ~51% probability of a Tampa Bay win.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 1.4 hours (1:27 PM to 2:50 PM ET), YES volume leads $33,009 to $532, price holding near 51¢. One $25,500 YES trade (50,000 contracts) accounts for 76% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,024 trades: 1,024 trades over 12.0 hours (2:51 AM to 2:50 PM ET), YES volume leads $84,271 to $945, price holding near 51¢. One $25,500 YES trade (50,000 contracts) accounts for 30% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.