Someone just bet $29,000 on the "Miami vs Tampa Bay Winner?" market, backing Tampa Bay to win their May 17 game. The trade placed 50,000 YES contracts at 58¢ each, totaling $29,000. The book absorbed the order cleanly, with price holding firm at 58¢ and no slippage detected. The market currently sits at 58¢ on the YES side, implying a ~57% probability of a Tampa Bay win.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 15 minutes (11:22 AM to 11:37 AM ET), YES volume leads $48,201 to $13, price holding near 58¢. One $29,000 YES trade (50,000 contracts) accounts for 60% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 11.3 hours (12:20 AM to 11:37 AM ET), YES volume leads $300,606 to $20,971, as price moved from 61¢ to 58¢ (-3¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 2,076 trades over 12.0 hours (11:38 PM to 11:37 AM ET), YES volume leads $304,257 to $21,081, as price moved from 61¢ to 58¢ (-3¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.