Someone just bet $15,286 on the parlay outcome "yes Tampa Bay,yes Philadelphia" — requiring Tampa Bay to win over Baltimore and Philadelphia to win over Cincinnati. 49,470 YES contracts at 31¢ each, totaling $15,286.23. With no resting orders and zero liquidity on the book, the market absorbed the trade without measurable slippage, holding steady through the session. The price sits at 31¢, implying approximately 30% probability on the combined outcome.
📊 Last 15 trades: 15 trades over 9.9 hours (2:29 AM to 12:20 PM ET), YES volume leads $16,206 to $0, price holding near 31¢. One $15,286 YES trade (49,470 contracts) accounts for 94% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.