THE TOP STORY
Game 7: San Antonio vs Oklahoma City
The Western Conference Finals reach a winner-take-all Game 7 Saturday night in Oklahoma City after San Antonio routed the Thunder 118-91 to even the series 3-3. Victor Wembanyama led the way with 28 points, 10 rebounds and 3 blocks.
OKC sits at 59¢ on home court and title pedigree, but the on-court signals point the other way:
SGA's slump: the MVP missed the 20-point mark in just 3 of 82 games this season — two came against San Antonio in the past five days, including just 15 points on 18 shots in Game 6.
J-Will hobbled: OKC's No. 2 option, back from a hamstring strain, logged 10 minutes, 1 point and a team-worst -18 on Thursday.
Wemby ascending: he bounced back from his Game 5 dud. If he’s fired up for Game 7, the Spurs are 3-0 in the series when he outscores SGA.
Best trade: Spurs “Yes” at 43¢
POLITICS X SPORTS
🏆🏀 TRUMP AT NBA FINALS?
On May 27, Trump said he was invited to the Finals by Knicks owner James Dolan, telling reporters, "I think I'll be going to one of the games." No sitting president has ever attended an NBA Finals game.
Kalshi's "Yes" sits at 57¢ (ask 62¢), down from ~80% when the news broke. Even if the price has fallen, he gets multiple bites:
Three MSG dates: the Knicks host Games 3 and 4 on June 8 and 10, and Game 6 on June 16 if the series gets there — the NYC native only has to show once.
Dolan tie: a longtime friend and donor who hosted Trump's 2024 MSG rally — a real invite, not a courtesy.
Track record: Super Bowl LIX, the CFP title game, and the FIFA Club World Cup final — he shows for marquee events.
Best trade: Limit buy Yes at 58¢
NFL “DRAFT”
🏈 SORSBY IN NFL SUPPLEMENTAL DRAFT?
On May 26, the NCAA denied Texas Tech QB Brendan Sorsby's reinstatement request over bets he placed during his 2022 freshman season at Indiana — a permanent ineligibility ruling. Texas Tech is appealing and Sorsby has a pending lawsuit, but his college path now looks remote.
Yes is trading at 64¢ bid / 66¢ ask. The market still prices real doubt — but "declaring" is a low bar Sorsby largely controls, and he's already positioning for it.
Deadline: the NFL set June 22 as his filing date, a date Sorsby included in an injunction — signaling intent to apply.
Likely path: The Athletic frames the supplemental draft as the route Sorsby would likely pursue if he can't play college in 2026.
No good alternative: a roughly fourth-round consensus QB gains little sitting out to 2027.
Best trade: Limit buy Yes at 64¢
AI DRIVING
🤖🚗 Where will Waymo operate this year?
Waymo, Alphabet's robotaxi unit, on May 28 began rolling out the Ojai — a cheaper, next-gen van built to let it expand faster. The same announcement named where service heads next.
This market resolves "Yes" if Waymo offers public, paid, driverless rides in X city — no waitlist or invite — before Jan 1, 2027.
Waymo's official press release lists Denver by name among the cities launching "this summer," before opening "to everyone later this year." That's a published roadmap, not a guess: only a major reversal kills it, and the contract has a six-month runway against a company that often opens new markets in under three.
At 67¢, Denver is the most underpriced among all the cities mentioned in the stated plan. Note all cities mentioned in the release are priced below 80¢ on Kalshi.
Best trade: Limit buy Denver "Yes" at 67¢
COPYRIGHT, COPYWRONG
⚖️ Companies acquired in 2026: Perplexity AI "Yes"
Perplexity is a San Francisco AI-search startup valued in the tens of billions. On May 28, CNN sued it in the Southern District of New York over 17,000-plus copied stories, videos and images — the first such copyright suit from a television network.
Kalshi's market resolves on whether Perplexity is acquired this year; "Yes" sits at 22¢. The only fresh catalyst is legal, not M&A — and it leans against a deal, not toward one.
Litigation pile-up: CNN joins the NYT, News Corp, Chicago Tribune and Britannica, filing as a related case to the Times and Tribune suits.
Inherited liability: 100+ AI copyright suits, no appellate ruling yet — any acquirer absorbs the full exposure.
Base rate: tens-of-billions startups have few possible buyers and rarely sell inside one calendar year.
Best trade: limit buy No at 80¢.