A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "NICOLE GIANNINI" in the Torres Murcia vs GIANNINI market — the NO side wins if "NICOLE GIANNINI" does NOT happen. The taker landed 31,918 NO contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $31,599. The book absorbed the size cleanly — across the last 200 trades (11 minutes), the price has held near 1¢ on the YES side. The market now prices YES at roughly 1%, implying the outcome is seen as very unlikely. The market closes July 27, 2026.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 11 minutes (4:29 PM to 4:40 PM ET), NO volume leads $52,670 to $655, price holding near 1¢. One $31,600 NO trade (31,918 contracts) accounts for 59% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,270 trades: 1,270 trades over 5.1 hours (11:34 AM to 4:40 PM ET), NO volume leads $78,437 to $10,083, as price moved from 13¢ to 1¢ (-12¢). One $31,600 NO trade (31,918 contracts) accounts for 36% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $30,000+ · Parlays: $20,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $9,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.