Someone just bet $5,802 against "Who will win the next presidential election?" on Kalshi's 2028 U.S. Presidential Election market, wagering Donald J. Trump will not win. The trader sold 5,969 NO contracts at 97¢ each, totaling $5,801.87. With zero resting liquidity in the book, the trade executed at the ask with no visible price improvement available. The NO side now sits bid 96¢ / ask 97¢, implying roughly a 3% probability of a Trump win.
📊 Last 22 trades: 22 trades over 3.5 hours (1:07 PM to 4:34 PM ET), NO volume leads $15,271 to $22, price holding near 3¢. One $5,802 NO trade (5,969 contracts) accounts for 38% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.