A taker stepped up on NO, landing on the NO side of the "Event does not qualify" outcome in the Trump Cabinet Meeting mentions market — the NO side wins if the qualifying event does not fail to occur, meaning the event resolves outside "does not qualify." 11,047 NO contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $10,937. The book absorbed the trade cleanly with no slippage, consistent with a market already hammered from 13¢ to 1¢ over the prior session. YES now sits at 1¢, implying roughly 1% probability that the event does not qualify.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 40 minutes (11:15 AM to 11:55 AM ET), NO volume leads $34,053 to $555, as price moved from 13¢ to 1¢ (-12¢). One $10,937 NO trade (11,047 contracts) accounts for 32% of the flow.
📊 Last 508 trades: 508 trades over 12.0 hours (11:55 PM to 11:55 AM ET), NO volume leads $41,615 to $1,019, as price moved from 10¢ to 1¢ (-9¢). One $10,937 NO trade (11,047 contracts) accounts for 26% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.