A taker stepped up on YES, landing on the YES side of Tulsi Gabbard leaving as Director of National Intelligence before Jun 1, 2026 — the YES side wins if that departure happens before the deadline. The trade covered 10,000 YES contracts at 97¢ each, totaling $9,700. With no resting orders and zero liquidity in the book, the market showed no clean absorption — this trade crossed at the top of a wide 11¢ spread against a live ask. The market's last price sits at 44¢, reflecting a bid-ask midpoint far below the 97¢ execution price.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 49 minutes (12:15 PM to 1:04 PM ET), YES volume leads $24,210 to $2,431, as price moved from 19¢ to 44¢ (+25¢). One $9,700 YES trade (10,000 contracts) accounts for 36% of the flow.
📊 Last 421 trades: 421 trades over 3.2 hours (9:55 AM to 1:04 PM ET), YES volume leads $29,632 to $4,488, as price moved from 8¢ to 44¢ (+36¢). One $9,700 YES trade (10,000 contracts) accounts for 28% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.