A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of "yes Tampa Bay,yes New York Y" — a parlay requiring Tampa Bay to defeat Los Angeles and New York Y to defeat the A's — where the YES side wins if both outcomes happen. The trade moved 36,162 YES contracts at 40¢ each, totaling $14,392. The market had been climbing steadily from 11¢ over the prior session, and this print — the largest single trade in the series — pushed the ask to 40¢ with the bid trailing at 38.6¢, a 1.4¢ spread. The market now sits at a last of 39.8¢, implying roughly a 40% probability the parlay lands.
📊 Last 23 trades: 23 trades over 9.8 hours (12:16 AM to 10:05 AM ET), YES volume leads $16,411 to $1,589, as price moved from 11¢ to 40¢ (+29¢). One $14,392 YES trade (36,162 contracts) accounts for 80% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.