Welcome to PNN

Welcome to Prediction News Network — the SportsCenter meets NYTimes meets Bloomberg of the prediction markets. We're here to keep you updated on the news and help you figure out what’s going to happen before it happens.

We’re super bullish on this new asset class — not just because you can bet on it, but because it’s where real-world curiosity meets real-time context. You might catch a headline about NYC’s mayoral race or wonder if that new Benson Boone song will chart — but how do you find key context around real signal?

That’s what we’re here for: to give your hunches key context — and ultimately into correct predictions.

Here’s just a taste of what we’re beginning to roll out:

Daily newsletter (Have a question or hot take? We read every reply)
🎮 Games section (Wordle-type games with a market spin)
📰 Articles on the latest markets (From Trump to Tarantino)
📊 Kalshi User Postings sentiment (Finding the Roaring Kitty of prediction markets)

Cash in on Culture. Let’s get into it 👇

🔥 Trending Market

Jony Ive Exit Rumors Swirl After OpenAI Scrubs ‘io’ Branding Amid Trademark Dispute

The Backstory:
OpenAI has removed all official references to its hardware venture with former Apple design chief Jony Ive after a legal complaint from earbud startup iyO. The move follows OpenAI’s $6.4 billion deal with Ive’s firm, io, which was set to lead AI hardware development.

Why It Matters:
The trademark row adds unexpected legal turbulence to a high-stakes partnership aimed at creating “the coolest piece of technology” ever, according to CEO Sam Altman. While OpenAI insists the deal remains intact, the sudden takedown raises questions about brand continuity and internal tensions — enough to move the prediction markets.

Market Price:
As of Sunday, contracts predicting “Jony Ive will leave OpenAI this year” are trading at 14¢, implying a 14% chance of departure. That’s up from earlier in the week, reflecting growing unease around the fallout.

Forward-Looking Implications:

  • If Ive leaves, it would mark a major disruption to OpenAI’s hardware roadmap and could spook investors betting on seamless integration.

  • If he stays, the partnership may need to rebrand — possibly delaying product launches and eroding early momentum.

  • Expect legal updates and branding decisions in the coming weeks to significantly sway prediction markets and investor confidence in OpenAI’s hardware ambitions.

🏆 Today’s Games

MLB Games: 15
WNBA Games: 5

⚾ Best MLB Games

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves – 1:35 PM ET
A pivotal NL East rubber match sees Ranger Suárez (2.08 ERA) take on Spencer Strider, who owns an 8-1 career record vs. Philly and is rounding back into form. The Phillies have alternated offensive explosions with cold stretches, while Atlanta is clinging to postseason hopes behind Matt Olson’s 29-game on-base streak.

Strider’s dominance against Philadelphia vs. Suárez’s elite 2024 form makes this a classic pitchers' duel—leans Under 8.5 with both arms capable of working deep and conditions favoring the hurlers.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles – 1:35 PM ET
Tampa Bay looks to stay hot (11-4 last 15) in the rubber match against Dean Kremer, who held the Rays to one run earlier this month. Taj Bradley counters with high strikeout upside but shaky control, while Jonathan Aranda rides a 13-game hitting streak and Statcast-best 467-foot HR.

With pick ’em odds, divisional stakes, and both teams seeing the ball well, the market leaning Under 9.5 despite strong recent offenses and a bump in the total adds intrigue.

First MLB game starts at 12:05 pm ET

🏀 WNBA

Today’s WNBA action starts at 3:00 PM with the New York Liberty (11-4) vs. Atlanta Dream (10-6), featuring Breanna Stewart (20.7 PPG) and Allisha Gray (19.5 PPG).

At 4:00 PM, the Chicago Sky (4-11) face the LA Sparks (5-11), with Angel Reese (12.3 RPG) and Kelsey Plum (20.5 PPG) leading their teams.

The Las Vegas Aces (7-8) take on the Phoenix Mercury (12-4) at 6:00 PM, headlined by A’ja Wilson (21.2 PPG, 9.2 RPG) and Alyssa Thomas.

At 7:00 PM, MVP contender Napheesa Collier (24.5 PPG, 8.4 RPG) leads the Minnesota Lynx (13-2) against the struggling Connecticut Sun (2-14).

The day ends at 8:30 PM with the Seattle Storm (10-6) facing the Golden State Valkyries (8-7), featuring Nneka Ogwumike and Kayla Thornton.

🔍 Today’s Top Market

Tesla's Robotaxi Missteps Shake Confidence in Near-Term Full Autonomy

The Backstory:
Tesla’s long-promised robotaxi future is finally here — sort of. On June 22, the company launched its first supervised robotaxi fleet in Austin, Texas, allowing select users to hail self-driving Model Ys for a flat $4.20 fare. But within days, videos surfaced showing erratic and concerning behavior: vehicles swerving into oncoming lanes, braking abruptly, and making improper stops.

Why It Matters:
This rollout is being closely watched by regulators, investors, and rivals alike as a test of Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) viability. While Elon Musk touts a future with millions of autonomous Teslas on the road by 2026, early performance in Austin raises doubts about whether the software — which relies solely on cameras — is ready to safely replace human drivers.

Market Price:
Prediction markets reflect this uncertainty. As of Sunday:

  • The chance of Tesla launching unsupervised FSD before July is down to 5%, with contracts trading at just .

  • A launch before November is trading at 49¢, indicating even odds, down 3 points from the day prior.

  • The long-term outlook remains optimistic, with a 63% chance Tesla achieves this before 2026.

Forward-Looking Implications:

  • A successful expansion of the Austin fleet — or smoother operation in the coming weeks — could buoy investor confidence and push up near-term probabilities.

  • Conversely, more public incidents or regulatory scrutiny may delay broader deployment and erode Tesla’s credibility in the race to autonomy.

  • With over $1 million in market volume and high public visibility, this rollout could be a pivotal moment not just for Tesla, but for the entire AV industry.

As one analyst put it, “This is a robotaxi toddler — exciting, but not yet ready to cross the street alone.”

🎬 Entertainment

Jurassic World Rebirth Sinks – 7pt Drop in ‘Above 65’ Rotten Tomatoes Odds

The Story:
Early reactions to Jurassic World: Rebirth have ignited concern rather than hype. Reviewers called the film a chaotic mix of poor writing and logic-defying plot turns, with one critic branding it “just dumb sh*t happening over and over.” Despite star power from Scarlett Johansson and Mahershala Ali, the response so far has ranged from tepid to openly negative. Combined with mixed fan feedback and clumsy villain reveals, the film risks undermining Universal’s attempt to reboot the franchise. Though the film doesn't release widely until July 2, the damage may already be setting in.

Market Reaction:
Prediction traders are recalibrating expectations fast. On Kalshi, the contract for Rebirth scoring above 65 on Rotten Tomatoes dropped 7 percentage points to 43%, while “Above 60” holds a fragile lead at 63%. The “Above 70” contract edged up slightly to 27%, likely reflecting hopes tied to the legacy appeal and musical callbacks to the original John Williams score.

🎬 The market is pricing in a likely "Fresh" rating (>60), but confidence in anything higher has sharply eroded.

🤩 New Markets

Neuralink livestream gamble: There’s a 56% chance that Neuralink or a similar company will stream brain data online this year — a notable proxy for progress in neurotech commercialization.

Acela II service date: Just 36% think the long-delayed trains will run revenue service before August 1. Skepticism remains despite federal pressure.

Spotify stream target for ‘Manchild’: Market is split 50/50 on hitting 140M streams by Friday — a real-time test of viral momentum.

🗣️ Kalshi User Postings

“don’t say the b word” — @BigAl2795
Market: What will Trump say on Sunday Morning Futures?
With “Biden” still a 35¢ favorite on the word-watch market, @BigAl2795 wasn’t taking any chances. Traders are parsing every Trump appearance like a live transcript spelling bee.

“Betting the whole port on this one ❗” — @BigAl2795
Market: Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill before Jul 2, 2025? (No · 15%)
With procedural chaos and conflicting floor updates, conviction soared. @BigAl2795 is all-in on gridlock. The Senate may not pass a bill, but this user’s already passed the point of no return.

“fake Paul buys his fights. this was obvious” — @Sandhufus
Market: Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr (Yes · Jake Paul · 87%)
Jake Paul cashed another W, but skepticism never left the ring. @Sandhufus and others called it performance art with prize money. The match may be over, but the conspiracies are just hitting round two. 🥊

🎮 Play Our Games

Just like the New York Times, we’ve got quick-hit games — but with a predictive twist. Whether you’re matching emojis or hitting 21, they’re built to sharpen your instinct for patterns, probabilities, and plays. More coming soon…

💸 Start Predicting Now

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