Jun 3, 2026
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3 min read
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles Mayoral Election market at 88¢, sizing 30,000 contracts — $26,400 — against Spencer Pratt winning.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" at 87¢ across 31,792 contracts, sizing $27,659 against Spencer Pratt winning.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles mayoral race at 87¢, sizing $17,400 across 20,000 contracts — the NO side wins if Spencer Pratt does not win.
A taker landed on the NO side of Spencer Pratt receiving at least 40% of the Los Angeles mayoral first-round vote — 21,500 contracts at 99¢, with YES pricing the outcome at just 1%.
A taker landed on the YES side at 97¢, sizing $22,609 on the Fed holding rates unchanged at its June 2026 meeting — 23,308 contracts with no slippage.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Who will win the governorship in California?" at 100¢, sizing $19K against a Chad Bianco victory in a near-zero-probability market.
A taker landed on the NO side of Spencer Pratt hitting "at least 40%" in the 2026 LA mayor race, crossing 26,261 contracts at 99¢ with YES priced at just 1¢.
A taker landed on the YES side of the Spencer Pratt L.A. Mayor market at 15¢, stepping up with 61,208 contracts totaling $9,181 as price slipped to 14¢.
A taker landed on NO at 86¢, sizing $7,162 against Spencer Pratt winning the Los Angeles Mayoral Election — the market held flat at 16¢ on the YES side.
A taker landed on the YES side of Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt at 64¢, sizing $7,724 into a session already running 97% YES across 200 trades.
Jun 2, 2026
A taker stepped up on YES at 78¢, sizing $9,629 on Will Democrats win the House in 2026? — landing as the session's largest trade in a market up 1¢.
Jun 1, 2026
A taker landed on YES at 26¢, sizing $15,660 on Spencer Pratt winning the Los Angeles Mayoral Election — 60,231 contracts with price holding flat.
May 30, 2026
A taker landed on the NO side of "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" at 87¢, sizing $9,774 across 11,235 contracts against a ~13% implied probability.
A taker stepped up on YES at 97¢, sizing $48,500 on the Fed holding rates unchanged in June 2026 — landing on a book with no resting liquidity.
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May 29, 2026
A taker landed on the NO side of the J.B. Pritzker 2028 Democratic nominee market at 97¢, sizing $5,153 against a ~3% implied probability in a market with no recorded volume.
A taker landed on NO at 98¢ across 21,929 contracts, sizing $21,600 against J.B. Pritzker winning the 2028 presidency — a market sitting near 1–2¢ YES.
A taker stepped up on YES at 20¢, sizing $6K on Marco Rubio winning the next presidential election — landing on a market holding flat at 19¢.
May 28, 2026
A taker stepped up on YES at 90¢, sizing $6,300 on Byron Donalds winning the Florida Republican gubernatorial nomination — landing on a market already up 2¢ on the session.
A taker landed on the NO side of "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" at 79¢, sizing 6,896 contracts worth $5,448 against Spencer Pratt winning.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles Mayoral Election market at 76¢ — 25,000 contracts totaling $19,000 — as sustained NO flow pushed Spencer Pratt's implied odds down to 24%.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles mayoral winner market at 74¢, sizing $37,000 across 50,000 contracts against Spencer Pratt winning.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles Mayoral Election at 74¢, sizing $5,178 across 6,997 contracts against Spencer Pratt winning.
A taker landed on the NO side of the Los Angeles Mayor market at 74¢, sizing $7,400 against Spencer Pratt winning — with YES slipping to 26¢.
May 27, 2026
A taker landed on the NO side of the June 2026 Fed hike market at 99¢, sizing $13,875 across 14,015 contracts — YES sitting at just 1¢.