A taker stepped up on YES, landing on the YES side of the "Arizona vs San Francisco Winner?" market — the YES side wins if Arizona takes the game. 49,999 YES contracts at 52¢ each, totaling $25,999. The book absorbed the trade cleanly, with price holding flat at 52¢ and no slippage detected. The market currently sits at 52¢, implying a ~52% probability of an Arizona win.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 13 minutes (3:15 PM to 3:28 PM ET), YES volume leads $58,615 to $1,068, price holding near 52¢. One $25,999 YES trade (49,999 contracts) accounts for 44% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,665 trades: 1,665 trades over 12.0 hours (3:28 AM to 3:28 PM ET), YES volume leads $152,441 to $15,641, as price moved from 55¢ to 52¢ (-3¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.