A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of "Will Arsenal win the Champions League Winner?" — the YES side wins if Arsenal claim the Champions League title. 500,000 YES contracts at 45¢ each, totaling $225,000. The price slipped 1¢ post-trade, moving from 45¢ to 44¢, suggesting the book absorbed the size with minor downward pressure. The market currently sits at 44¢ on the last print, implying a ~44% probability of an Arsenal victory.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 26 minutes (9:12 AM to 9:38 AM ET), YES volume leads $407,873 to $5,930, price holding near 44¢. One $225,000 YES trade (500,000 contracts) accounts for 54% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 9.3 hours (12:20 AM to 9:38 AM ET), YES volume leads $1,209,104 to $35,455, price holding near 44¢.
📊 Past 12 hours: 2,634 trades over 12.0 hours (9:38 PM to 9:38 AM ET), YES volume leads $1,242,572 to $41,169, price holding near 44¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.