A taker stepped up on YES, landing on the YES side of "Will Arsenal win the Champions League Winner?" — the YES side wins if Arsenal claim the Champions League title. 50,000 YES contracts at 69¢ each, totaling $34,500. The book absorbed the trade as part of a broader surge, with price climbing 2¢ from 68¢ to 70¢ across 200 trades spanning two minutes. Arsenal's implied win probability now sits at approximately 70¢ on the YES side.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 2 minutes (12:55 PM to 12:57 PM ET), YES volume leads $268,368 to $1,582, price holding near 70¢.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 32 minutes (12:25 PM to 12:57 PM ET), YES volume leads $420,758 to $17,053, as price moved from 62¢ to 70¢ (+8¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 5,000 trades over 51 minutes (12:06 PM to 12:57 PM ET), YES volume leads $610,370 to $43,150, as price moved from 42¢ to 70¢ (+28¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.