A taker stepped up on NO, landing on the NO side of "BTC price up in next 15 mins?" — the NO side wins if BTC does not reach the $74,786.70 target within the 15-minute window. 27,175 NO contracts at 97¢ each, totaling $26,386.92. The book showed no resting liquidity at entry, yet the YES side moved from 4¢ to 8¢ in the minutes following, suggesting the broader flow pressured the market. YES now sits near 5.5¢ bid, implying roughly a 5–6% probability the outcome resolves YES.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over under 1 minute (1:57 PM to 1:57 PM ET), NO volume leads $8,990 to $546, price holding near 3¢.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 2 minutes (1:55 PM to 1:57 PM ET), NO volume leads $104,661 to $10,178, as price moved from 33¢ to 3¢ (-30¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 5,000 trades over 7 minutes (1:50 PM to 1:57 PM ET), flow roughly balanced — $87,295 YES vs $132,631 NO, as price moved from 54¢ to 3¢ (-51¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.