A taker stepped up on YES, landing on the YES side of the "Iran (5+ times)" outcome in the Trump Cabinet Meeting mentions market — the YES side wins if Trump says "Iran" five or more times during the meeting. 10,000 YES contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $9,900. The price moved sharply into this trade, climbing 12¢ from 87¢ to 99¢ across the 15-minute window, with the book absorbing the fill at the top of that run. The market sits at 99¢, implying a ~99% probability of resolution YES.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 15 minutes (12:45 PM to 1:01 PM ET), YES volume leads $13,837 to $731, as price moved from 86¢ to 99¢ (+13¢). One $9,900 YES trade (10,000 contracts) accounts for 68% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,122 trades: 1,122 trades over 11.6 hours (1:24 AM to 1:01 PM ET), YES volume leads $18,212 to $4,866, as price moved from 77¢ to 99¢ (+22¢). One $9,900 YES trade (10,000 contracts) accounts for 43% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.