Someone just bet $99,000 against "Will Casper Ruud win the ATP Rome?", taking the NO side on Kalshi's multi-outcome ATP Rome winner market. The trade was executed as 100,000 NO contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $99,000. The book absorbed the position as the YES price dropped from 3¢ to 1¢ in the four-minute window surrounding this trade. The market now prices Ruud's chances at approximately 1%.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 5 minutes (12:22 PM to 12:26 PM ET), NO volume leads $196,585 to $2,059, price holding near 1¢. One $99,000 NO trade (100,000 contracts) accounts for 50% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 31 minutes (11:55 AM to 12:26 PM ET), NO volume leads $277,346 to $66,723, as price moved from 17¢ to 1¢ (-16¢). One $99,000 NO trade (100,000 contracts) accounts for 29% of the flow.
📊 Past 12 hours: 4,579 trades over 12.0 hours (12:28 AM to 12:26 PM ET), flow roughly balanced — $193,619 YES vs $325,742 NO, as price moved from 15¢ to 1¢ (-14¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.