A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of "Will Casper Ruud win the Ruud vs Medjedovic: Round Of 64 match?" — the YES side wins if Casper Ruud wins the match. 26,170 YES contracts at 97¢ each, totaling $25,385. The book absorbed the trade cleanly, with price ticking up 1¢ from 96¢ to 97¢ over the session's 200-trade, 7-minute flow. The market now sits at 97¢ on the ask, implying a ~97% probability of a Ruud victory.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 7 minutes (4:04 PM to 4:11 PM ET), YES volume leads $98,501 to $700, price holding near 97¢. One $25,385 YES trade (26,170 contracts) accounts for 26% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 54 minutes (3:17 PM to 4:11 PM ET), YES volume leads $509,615 to $12,948, as price moved from 70¢ to 97¢ (+27¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 3,341 trades over 11.9 hours (4:19 AM to 4:11 PM ET), YES volume leads $748,269 to $27,953, as price moved from 71¢ to 97¢ (+26¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.