Someone just bet $27,360 against "Will Chris Gotterup win the PGA Championship?", the largest single trade in a 37-minute window that saw $64,564 change hands. The position was structured as 27,833 NO contracts at 98¢ each, totaling $27,359.84. Over that same window, price slipped from 3¢ to 2¢ on the YES side, suggesting sustained NO-side pressure absorbed without a clean book. The YES side currently sits at ~2¢, implying roughly a 2% probability that Gotterup wins.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 38 minutes (1:47 PM to 2:25 PM ET), NO volume leads $63,128 to $1,436, price holding near 2¢. One $27,360 NO trade (27,833 contracts) accounts for 42% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,315 trades: 1,315 trades over 12.0 hours (2:26 AM to 2:25 PM ET), NO volume leads $415,805 to $14,306, price holding near 2¢. One $149,811 NO trade (152,557 contracts) accounts for 35% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.