Someone just bet $31,776 against "Will Scottie Scheffler win the PGA Championship?" on Kalshi's PGA Championship Winner market. The trade involved 32,097 NO contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $31,776. The book absorbed the order cleanly with no price movement, as the market held steady at 1¢ YES throughout the session. Scheffler's win probability currently sits at approximately 1% implied.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 20 minutes (1:35 PM to 1:55 PM ET), NO volume leads $118,300 to $655, price holding near 1¢. One $31,777 NO trade (32,097 contracts) accounts for 27% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 1.3 hours (12:37 PM to 1:55 PM ET), NO volume leads $1,671,759 to $25,409, as price moved from 7¢ to 1¢ (-6¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 5,000 trades over 5.1 hours (8:47 AM to 1:55 PM ET), NO volume leads $1,824,564 to $67,365, as price moved from 5¢ to 1¢ (-4¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.