A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of the Combo market — the NO side wins if the outcome does not happen. The taker landed 30,000 NO contracts at 90¢ each, totaling $26,910. The parlay's legs: BTC price up in next 15 mins? — YES (currently 8¢); ETH price up in next 15 mins? — NO (currently 3¢); XRP price up in next 15 mins? — YES (currently 11¢). The book absorbed the size cleanly — across the last 5 trades (1 minute), the price has held near 10¢ on the YES side. The market now prices YES at roughly 10%, implying the outcome is seen as unlikely. The market closes in 5 minutes.
📊 Last 5 trades: 5 trades over 1 minute (5:08 PM to 5:09 PM ET), NO volume leads $143,287 to $0, price holding near 10¢. One $89,700 NO trade (100,000 contracts) accounts for 63% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $30,000+ · Parlays: $20,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $9,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.