A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of "yes Spain advances,yes Argentina advances,yes England advances" — the YES side wins if all three outcomes happen. The trade totaled 26,178 YES contracts at 36¢ each, totaling $9,476.44. The book absorbed the size cleanly, with the price holding steady at 36c and only a marginal uptick from the day's open. YES currently trades at 36c, implying roughly a 36% probability across the Spain, Argentina, and England advancement combo.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 47 minutes (5:29 PM to 6:16 PM ET), YES volume leads $19,477 to $21, price holding near 36¢. One $9,476 YES trade (26,178 contracts) accounts for 49% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $9,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $8,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.