A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Will John Cornyn be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Texas?" — the NO side wins if Cornyn does not secure the Republican nomination. 7,395 NO contracts at 95¢ each, totaling $7,025. With no resting liquidity in the book, the trade absorbed without measurable slippage and the price held steady. The YES side remains priced at 5¢, implying roughly a 5% probability that Cornyn wins the nomination.
📊 Last 121 trades: 121 trades over 11.9 hours (2:43 AM to 2:40 PM ET), NO volume leads $10,175 to $1,618, price holding near 5¢. One $7,026 NO trade (7,395 contracts) accounts for 60% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.