Someone just bet $12,704 on "Will Ken Paxton be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Texas?" at 96¢ a contract. 13,247 YES contracts at 96¢ each, totaling $12,703.87. With no resting liquidity in the book, the trade absorbed at 96¢ — a single cent above the prior 95¢ session price. The market now sits at a 95¢–96¢ bid-ask, implying approximately 95% probability of a Paxton nomination.
📊 Last 179 trades: 179 trades over 11.9 hours (4:42 PM to 4:34 AM ET), YES volume leads $29,803 to $882, price holding near 95¢. One $12,704 YES trade (13,247 contracts) accounts for 41% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.