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❓ What’s Happening
The market is asking: Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate? As of Sept 22, “Yes” leads at 55%, up 5 points. Traders are focused on CarMax’s scheduled Sept 25 earnings release, where Bloomberg’s consensus non-GAAP EPS forecast sits at $1.03.

📈 Market Snapshot

🔍 Why It Matters
CarMax has a recent track record of positive surprises: last quarter it reported $1.38 EPS vs. $1.18 consensus, a 16.95% beat. The upcoming August-quarter consensus is tighter, at $1.03 vs. $0.85 last year. With mixed analyst sentiment — one revision up, one down in the past month — traders are weighing whether the streak of beats can continue.

⏭️ What to Watch Next

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This week's big earnings: Costco, Micron Technologies, Carmax, and more

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NFL Week 3 - Monday Night Football on ESPN @ 8:15 pm ET

MLB Games: 3 - First Pitch @ 7:15 pm ET

WNBA Playoffs: None tonight; (Mercury vs Lynx + Fever vs Aces tomorrow)

Context
The Brewers (95-61) open a three-game series at Petco Park against the Padres (85-71), with Milwaukee already clinching the NL Central and chasing MLB’s best record. San Diego, priced as a –125 favorite, remains three games back of the Dodgers in the NL West race.

Notable
Freddy Peralta (17-6, 2.65 ERA) has surrendered one or fewer runs in seven of his last eight outings, anchoring a Milwaukee rotation that owns MLB-best numbers with runners in scoring position. Nick Pivetta (13-5, 2.81 ERA) counters for San Diego, dominating at home with a 2.22 ERA and .170 opponent average, while also posting sub-3.00 ERAs over the past two months.

Lean
With both aces in form — Peralta’s 1.00 ERA stretch since the break and Pivetta’s stingy splits at Petco — early scoring should be scarce, pointing to the Under 7.0. San Diego’s slight edge comes from home field and a surging Luis Arraez and Fernando Tatis Jr., though Milwaukee’s steadiness makes this a true toss-up.

❓ What’s Happening
Traders are betting on whether Costco Wholesale (COST) will beat its quarterly EPS estimate, with the market now giving a 77% chance of a beat. The company is scheduled to report earnings on September 25, 2025, with Bloomberg’s consensus estimate at $5.82 non-GAAP EPS, up from $5.15 a year ago, reflecting a +12.8% year-over-year increase.

📈 Market Snapshot

🔍 Why It Matters
The market resolves to “Yes” if Costco reports EPS greater than $5.82 in its Form 8-K. Analysts have revised estimates slightly higher over the past month (from $5.79 to $5.81). Recent results reinforce this optimism: May 2025 EPS came in at $4.28 vs. $4.25 consensus, while August 2024 delivered $5.15 vs. $5.05. Still, COST has underperformed Walmart (+4.4% YTD vs. Walmart’s +13.6%), and competitive pressure from Amazon’s grocery push looms.

💡 Trader Takeaway
At 77%, markets are pricing a clear edge toward an EPS beat.

❓ What’s Happening
The market is asking: Who will win Monday Night Football — the Detroit Lions or Baltimore Ravens? Baltimore leads at 69¢ to Detroit’s 33¢, as bettors weigh Lamar Jackson’s perfect 3-0 record against Jared Goff. NFL Research notes the Ravens are 6-1 all-time vs. Detroit, with Jackson owning a 134.2 passer rating in their head-to-heads, nearly double Goff’s 72.7.

📈 Market Snapshot

🔍 Why It Matters
This isn’t just another early-season matchup — both franchises are eyeing a Super Bowl run after falling in the Divisional Round last year. Baltimore is averaging 40.5 points per game behind Jackson and Derrick Henry, while Detroit just dropped a 50-burger in Week 2. Traders are leaning on history: the Ravens crushed the Lions 38–6 last October, and Jackson remains undefeated against NFC North opponents at home.

⏭️ What to Watch Next

💡 Trader Takeaway
At 69¢, the market prices Baltimore as a heavy favorite — reflecting both historical dominance and Jackson’s primetime record. Detroit backers are betting on a statistical outlier: Goff finally breaking through against Jackson.

Microstrategy Bitcoin bet: There is an 82% chance the company announces a purchase between Sept 23–29 — traders are betting on the firm sticking to its BTC-buying playbook.

MrBeast viewership watch: Traders price a 44% chance his next video clears 60M views in week one, signaling skepticism around viral upside despite past track records.

NFL Week 3 Scorigami: Just 5% chance a never-before-seen score happens on Monday Night Football.

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
TheSpiritofUkrain bought No at 97¢ ($124,039) — 2h ago

Brewers vs. Padres
ImmadIPulikeshi bought Brewers at 50¢ ($105,875) — 6h ago

Brewers vs. Padres
ImmadIPulikeshi bought Brewers at 50¢ ($298,618) — 8h ago

Just like the New York Times, we’ve got quick-hit games — but with a predictive twist. Whether you’re matching emojis or hitting 21, they’re built to sharpen your instinct for patterns, probabilities, and plays. More coming soon…

👉 Emoji Match | 🃏 21 Blackjack

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