A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of the "Above 3.50%" outcome in the federal funds rate market following the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting — the YES side wins if the upper bound exceeds 3.50%. 8,000 YES contracts at 98¢ each, totaling $7,840. With no resting liquidity in the book, the market absorbed the trade against a 1¢ spread between bid and ask. The market last printed 98¢, implying roughly a 98% probability that the rate remains above 3.50% following the June meeting.
📊 Last 9 trades: 9 trades over 10.5 hours (4:28 AM to 2:59 PM ET), YES volume leads $7,845 to $22, price holding near 98¢. One $7,840 YES trade (8,000 contracts) accounts for 100% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.