Someone just bet $18,116 against "Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting?" on Kalshi's June 2026 Fed decision market. The trader purchased 18,299 NO contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $18,116. With no resting orders and zero liquidity on the book, the trade absorbed against the ask without a visible price shift. The YES side currently sits at 1¢, implying roughly a 1% probability of a June 2026 rate hike.
📊 Last 34 trades: 34 trades over 11.6 hours (12:17 AM to 11:50 AM ET), NO volume leads $23,199 to $6,342, price holding near 1¢. One $18,117 NO trade (18,299 contracts) accounts for 61% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.