A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of the "Above 3.75%" outcome in the federal funds rate market — the NO side wins if the upper bound does NOT exceed 3.75% following the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting. The trade covered 8,173 NO contracts at 98¢ each, totaling $8,010. With no resting orders and zero reported liquidity, the book showed no cushion, though the price held at its last-traded level without visible slippage. YES sits at 2¢, placing the implied probability of a rate above 3.75% at approximately 2%.
📊 Last 98 trades: 98 trades over 11.9 hours (10:37 PM to 10:30 AM ET), NO volume leads $19,689 to $876, price holding near 2¢. One $8,010 NO trade (8,173 contracts) accounts for 39% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.