A taker stepped up on NO at 2:31:13 PM ET, landing on the NO side of the "Before Jun 1, 2026" outcome in the Tulsi Gabbard DNI departure market — the NO side wins if Gabbard does NOT leave before Jun 1, 2026. 8,656 NO contracts at 96¢ each, totaling $8,327. The book absorbed the trade cleanly with no price movement, holding flat at 4¢ on the YES side. The market currently sits at a bid of 3.9¢ / ask of 4.5¢, implying roughly a 4% probability the event occurs before the deadline.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 20 minutes (2:11 PM to 2:31 PM ET), NO volume leads $37,046 to $3,120, price holding near 4¢.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 1.4 hours (1:05 PM to 2:31 PM ET), NO volume leads $395,233 to $29,208, as price moved from 34¢ to 4¢ (-30¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 2,551 trades over 4.6 hours (9:55 AM to 2:31 PM ET), NO volume leads $402,200 to $63,564, as price moved from 8¢ to 4¢ (-4¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.