Someone just bet $9,580 against the "Before Jun 1, 2026" outcome on whether Tulsi Gabbard leaves as Director of National Intelligence before June 1, 2026. The trade placed 9,979 NO contracts at 96¢ each, totaling $9,579.84. The YES price slipped 1¢ across the 6-minute trade window, moving from 5¢ down to 4¢ as NO pressure accumulated. The market now sits at 4¢ YES, implying roughly a 4% probability that Gabbard exits the DNI role before June 1.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 6 minutes (1:43 PM to 1:49 PM ET), NO volume leads $40,850 to $2,473, price holding near 4¢.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 3.9 hours (9:55 AM to 1:49 PM ET), NO volume leads $276,082 to $55,713, as price moved from 8¢ to 4¢ (-3¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.