A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 390?" — the NO side wins if that outcome does NOT happen. The trade covered 10,000 NO contracts at 96¢ each, totaling $9,600. With no resting liquidity in the book, the trade crossed a wide 5-cent spread between bid and ask without any visible slippage reported. The market's YES side currently sits at roughly 4¢ bid, implying approximately a 4% probability the threshold is breached.
📊 Last 11 trades: 11 trades over 1.2 hours (2:52 PM to 4:01 PM ET), NO volume leads $27,371 to $9, as price moved from 20¢ to 6¢ (-14¢). One $9,600 NO trade (10,000 contracts) accounts for 35% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.