A taker stepped up on YES, landing on the YES side of "Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be below 91.00 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026?" — the YES side wins if WTI settles below $91.00 on May 29, 2026. The trade totaled 9,166 YES contracts at 60¢ each, totaling $5,500. With no resting liquidity in the book, the price has climbed 19¢ from 41¢ to 60¢ across the session's 200 trades, reflecting sustained YES pressure. The market currently sits at a last-traded price of 60¢, with the bid-ask spread at 62¢–63¢, implying roughly 60% probability of settlement below $91.00.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 11.6 hours (2:27 AM to 2:00 PM ET), YES volume leads $14,514 to $2,983, as price moved from 41¢ to 60¢ (+19¢). One $5,500 YES trade (9,166 contracts) accounts for 31% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.