A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of Max Holloway winning his fight against Conor McGregor — the YES side wins if Holloway wins. The taker landed on 150,000 YES contracts at 65¢ each, totaling $97,500. The trade landed amid a wave of similarly sized YES orders within the same minute, and the book absorbed it cleanly with only a marginal one-cent slip afterward. The market now sits at 64¢, implying roughly a 64-65% chance Holloway wins.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 1.6 hours (3:22 PM to 4:55 PM ET), YES volume leads $397,250 to $1,511, price holding near 65¢. One $179,493 YES trade (276,143 contracts) accounts for 45% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,062 trades: 1,062 trades over 11.9 hours (5:00 AM to 4:55 PM ET), YES volume leads $456,914 to $23,613, price holding near 65¢. One $179,493 YES trade (276,143 contracts) accounts for 37% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $9,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $8,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.