A taker stepped up on NO, landing on the NO side of the "yes New York, no New York wins by over 2.5 points" combo outcome — the NO side wins if that outcome does NOT happen, combining a San Antonio at New York Game 4 winner (YES) with New York failing to win by more than 2.5 points. The taker took 15,898 NO contracts at 95¢ each, totaling $15,135. With zero resting liquidity and a spread of 23.2¢, the book showed no cushion, though the last price held near 5¢ on the YES side. The market currently sits with a bid of 4.6¢ and ask of 27.8¢, implying roughly 5% probability on YES.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 24 minutes (10:53 PM to 11:18 PM ET), NO volume leads $20,441 to $4,610, price holding near 5¢. One $15,135 NO trade (15,898 contracts) accounts for 60% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 5.6 hours (5:43 PM to 11:18 PM ET), NO volume leads $88,036 to $36,861, price holding near 5¢.
📊 Past 12 hours: 2,851 trades over 12.0 hours (11:19 AM to 11:18 PM ET), NO volume leads $123,249 to $49,734, price holding near 5¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $9,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $8,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.