Someone just bet $9,900 against "What will JD Vance say during remarks at Milbank Manufacturing Company?" in Kalshi's multi-outcome mentions market. The position was built via 10,000 NO contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $9,900. The book absorbed the trade cleanly with no slippage — the market had already been trending toward NO, with price falling from 3¢ to 1¢ across the prior 2.2-hour session. The YES side now sits at 1¢, implying roughly a 1% probability the outcome qualifies.
📊 Last 74 trades: 74 trades over 2.2 hours (10:49 AM to 1:03 PM ET), NO volume leads $12,262 to $40, price holding near 1¢. One $9,900 NO trade (10,000 contracts) accounts for 80% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.