Someone just bet against Tucker Carlson winning in the "Who will win the next presidential election?" market, placing $6,706 on the NO side. The trade comprised 6,878 NO contracts at 97¢ each, totaling $6,706. With no resting orders and zero liquidity on the book, there is no slippage data to report. The YES side currently sits at 2¢–2.5¢, implying roughly a 2% probability for Tucker Carlson.
📊 Last 6 trades: 6 trades over 7.1 hours (4:37 AM to 11:41 AM ET), NO volume leads $6,804 to $42, price holding near 2¢. One $6,707 NO trade (6,878 contracts) accounts for 98% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.