Someone just bet $26,739 against "Will Joaquin Niemann win the PGA Championship?" on Kalshi's PGA Championship Winner market. The trader sold 27,340 NO contracts at 98¢ each, totaling $26,739. With no resting orders and zero liquidity on the book, the trade executed against a thin market — the YES side sits between a 2.1¢ bid and 2.5¢ ask. The market currently prices Niemann's win at roughly 2%, with the NO side bid at 97.5¢ and ask at 97.9¢.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 18 minutes (2:04 PM to 2:22 PM ET), NO volume leads $60,280 to $2,173, price holding near 2¢. One $26,739 NO trade (27,340 contracts) accounts for 43% of the flow.
📊 Last 993 trades: 993 trades over 12.0 hours (2:25 AM to 2:22 PM ET), NO volume leads $104,042 to $13,062, price holding near 2¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.