A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of the "yes Josh Hart: 5+,yes Josh Hart: 15+" combo outcome — the NO side wins if the outcome does NOT happen. 15,000 NO contracts at 94¢ each, totaling $14,040. With no resting liquidity in the book, the wide 26.2¢ spread absorbed the trade without a clean fill at mid. The market now sits with YES implied at roughly 6%, reflecting a slim chance the parlay lands.
📊 Last 17 trades: 17 trades over 25 minutes (3:40 PM to 4:05 PM ET), NO volume leads $27,035 to $4,108, price holding near 6¢. One $14,040 NO trade (15,000 contracts) accounts for 45% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $9,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $8,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.