Kalshi Markets: 2028 GOP Nominee, House Seats, USD/CAD

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Nov 03 at 6:30 PM ET through Nov 04 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 480 unique markets across 162 new events, plus 5,921 recurring bracket markets.

🌤️ Climate and Weather

1 event

2 markets

🏢 Companies

1 event

3 markets

🎬 Entertainment

3 events

45 markets

🗳️ Elections

9 events

35 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

13 events

112 markets

💹 Financials

135 events

283 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

2028 Republican presidential nominee: Joe Kent — bid 3¢ / ask 3¢

How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?: At least 262 bid 43¢ / ask 44¢, At least 270 bid 1¢ / ask 12¢, At least 274 ask 9¢ (no bids)

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.39717 — bid 63¢ / ask 64¢

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 0.70044 — bid 19¢ / ask 20¢

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.12333 — bid 65¢ / ask 66¢

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 158.407 — bid 27¢ / ask 29¢

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.34754 — bid 51¢ / ask 53¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🌤️ Climate and Weather

Mammoth Mountain snowfall total by December 24th

🏢 Companies

eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026

🎬 Entertainment

🗳️ Elections

🔬 Science and Technology

💹 Financials

All New Events

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 2 markets

Mammoth Mountain snowfall total by December 24th — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 04, 2026 at 5:11 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above $92.5 billion	ask 52¢ (no bids)
Above $93 billion	ask 56¢ (no bids)
Above $93.5 billion	ask 50¢ (no bids)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 21	bid 87¢ / ask 97¢
Before Nov 14	bid 80¢ / ask 90¢
Before Nov 11	bid 78¢ / ask 88¢
Before Nov 6	bid 77¢ / ask 87¢
Before Nov 5	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Before Jan 4	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Before Dec 4	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢

Bracket	Price
Above 259	bid 20¢ / ask 74¢
Above 262	bid 20¢ / ask 77¢
Above 265	bid 3¢ / ask 13¢
Above 268	bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
Above 271	ask 7¢ (no bids)
Above 274	last 5¢ (book empty)
Above 277	—

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 26	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢
Before Nov 19	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢
Before Nov 18	bid 30¢ / ask 40¢
Before Nov 14	bid 29¢ / ask 39¢
Before Nov 11	bid 12¢ / ask 22¢
Before Jan 4	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢

Bracket	Price
At least 166	bid 77¢ (no asks)
At least 170	bid 21¢ / ask 99¢
At least 174	bid 15¢ / ask 61¢
At least 158	bid 78¢ (no asks)
At least 162	bid 78¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
At least 262	bid 43¢ / ask 44¢
At least 266	ask 12¢ (no bids)
At least 270	bid 1¢ / ask 12¢
At least 274	ask 9¢ (no bids)
At least 278	—

Bracket	Price
Above 9.5%	ask 78¢ (no bids)
Above 8.7%	ask 75¢ (no bids)
Above 7.9%	ask 78¢ (no bids)
Above 7.0%	ask 65¢ (no bids)
Above 6.6%	ask 72¢ (no bids)
Above 6.2%	bid 8¢ / ask 72¢
Above 5.7%	ask 75¢ (no bids)
Above 4.5%	bid 18¢ / ask 82¢
Above 13.9%	ask 52¢ (no bids)

Bracket	Price
Above 18.4%	ask 83¢ (no bids)
Above 17.6%	ask 65¢ (no bids)
Above 16.3%	ask 65¢ (no bids)
Above 15.5%	ask 65¢ (no bids)
Above 15.1%	ask 52¢ (no bids)
Above 13.7%	ask 68¢ (no bids)
Above 13.2%	ask 62¢ (no bids)
Above 12.7%	ask 81¢ (no bids)
Above 12.3%	ask 82¢ (no bids)

Bracket	Price
Above 42.4%	ask 55¢ (no bids)
Above 39.1%	ask 75¢ (no bids)
Above 38.8%	ask 52¢ (no bids)
Above 36.7%	ask 58¢ (no bids)
Above 35.4%	ask 58¢ (no bids)
Above 34.1%	ask 52¢ (no bids)
Above 32.9%	ask 65¢ (no bids)
Above 30.9%	ask 68¢ (no bids)
Above 30.6%	ask 65¢ (no bids)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.7%	ask 78¢ (no bids)
Above 9.3%	ask 55¢ (no bids)
Above 9.1%	ask 83¢ (no bids)
Above 8.8%	ask 72¢ (no bids)
Above 11.3%	ask 83¢ (no bids)
Above 11.0%	ask 75¢ (no bids)
Above 10.6%	ask 52¢ (no bids)
Above 10.4%	ask 80¢ (no bids)
Above 10.0%	ask 58¢ (no bids)

Bracket	Price
Above 22.7%	ask 55¢ (no bids)
Above 22.0%	ask 68¢ (no bids)
Above 21.1%	ask 62¢ (no bids)
Above 20.5%	ask 65¢ (no bids)
Above 20.1%	ask 52¢ (no bids)
Above 19.5%	ask 55¢ (no bids)
Above 19.3%	ask 62¢ (no bids)
Above 18.8%	ask 81¢ (no bids)
Above 17.4%	ask 58¢ (no bids)

Bracket	Price
Above 8.4%	ask 84¢ (no bids)
Above 8.1%	ask 84¢ (no bids)
Above 7.7%	ask 78¢ (no bids)
Above 7.3%	ask 83¢ (no bids)
Above 7.2%	ask 86¢ (no bids)
Above 7.1%	ask 58¢ (no bids)
Above 7.0%	ask 55¢ (no bids)
Above 6.4%	ask 83¢ (no bids)
Above 6.0%	ask 75¢ (no bids)

Bracket	Price
Above 15.6%	ask 84¢ (no bids)
Above 14.6%	ask 75¢ (no bids)
Above 13.6%	ask 58¢ (no bids)
Above 12.7%	ask 86¢ (no bids)
Above 12.3%	ask 82¢ (no bids)
Above 11.9%	ask 82¢ (no bids)
Above 11.4%	ask 85¢ (no bids)
Above 11.1%	ask 81¢ (no bids)
Above 10.8%	bid 7¢ / ask 86¢

Bracket	Price
5.44% or above	—
5.42% or above	—
5.4% or above	ask 6¢ (no bids)
5.38% or above	ask 8¢ (no bids)
5.36% or above	ask 13¢ (no bids)
5.34% or above	bid 6¢ / ask 19¢
5.32% or above	bid 17¢ / ask 33¢
5.3% or above	bid 32¢ / ask 48¢
5.28% or above	bid 48¢ / ask 64¢
5.26% or above	bid 63¢ / ask 78¢
5.24% or above	bid 77¢ / ask 89¢
5.22% or above	bid 86¢ / ask 96¢
5.2% or above	bid 88¢ / ask 99¢
5.18% or above	bid 93¢ (no asks)
5.16% or above	bid 97¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
5.09% or above	—
5.07% or above	—
5.05% or above	—
5.03% or above	—
5.01% or above	ask 8¢ (no bids)
4.99% or above	ask 13¢ (no bids)
4.97% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 17¢
4.95% or above	bid 12¢ / ask 24¢
4.93% or above	bid 20¢ / ask 36¢
4.91% or above	bid 34¢ / ask 49¢
4.89% or above	bid 48¢ / ask 63¢
4.87% or above	bid 61¢ / ask 77¢
4.85% or above	bid 75¢ / ask 89¢
4.83% or above	bid 84¢ / ask 97¢
4.81% or above	bid 88¢ / ask 98¢

Bracket	Price
4.74% or above	—
4.72% or above	ask 6¢ (no bids)
4.7% or above	ask 8¢ (no bids)
4.68% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 13¢
4.66% or above	bid 6¢ / ask 18¢
4.64% or above	bid 14¢ / ask 26¢
4.62% or above	bid 26¢ / ask 39¢
4.6% or above	bid 39¢ / ask 52¢
4.58% or above	bid 55¢ / ask 71¢
4.56% or above	bid 67¢ / ask 83¢
4.54% or above	bid 77¢ / ask 93¢
4.52% or above	bid 84¢ / ask 95¢
4.5% or above	bid 88¢ / ask 99¢
4.48% or above	bid 90¢ (no asks)
4.46% or above	bid 93¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
Above 74 thousand	bid 83¢ / ask 99¢
Above 73 thousand	bid 88¢ / ask 99¢
Above 72 thousand	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	4,429	18	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, US 30Y Treasury yield hourly, +15 more
📊 Economics	984	59	Daily Diesel Price, Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, West Virginia gas price, +56 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	373	54	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more
🎬 Entertainment	117	14	Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, Billboard Hot 100 #1, WHICH SONG WILL BE IN THE TOP 10 OF THE BILLBOARD HOT 100 HUNDERED FOR THE WEEK OF DATE , +11 more
🏛️ Politics	18	3	Trump approval rating, Number of Trump Truth Social posts today?, Will Trump do anything?

New Kalshi Markets: 2028 Republican Nominee, House Seats, USD/CAD — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:29 PM ET, Nov 04)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 2 markets

🏢 Companies — 1 event, 3 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets

🗳️ Elections — 9 events, 35 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 13 events, 112 markets

💹 Financials — 135 events, 283 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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