📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Nov 05 at 6:30 PM ET through Nov 06 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 1,714 unique markets across 144 new events, plus 6,140 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
2028 Democratic VP nominee: Gina Hinojosa bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Andy Kim bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Amy Acton bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?: Will Scharf — bid 16¢ / ask 20¢
BCE mobile phone activations in Q4 2026: Above 90,000 bid 1¢ / ask 5¢, Above 80,000 bid 1¢ / ask 6¢, Above 70,000 bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
How many days will U.S. cattle imports from Sonora be suspended?: 120 days or more bid 2¢ / ask 7¢, 90 days or more bid 3¢ / ask 10¢, 60 days or more bid 3¢ / ask 13¢
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?: Before Jun 2027 bid 94¢ / ask 99¢, Before Jul 2027 bid 94¢ / ask 99¢, Before May 2027 bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?: Elon Musk — bid 9¢ / ask 14¢
JetBlue average fare in Q4 2026: Above $210 bid 94¢ / ask 99¢, Above $280 bid 1¢ / ask 7¢, Above $220 bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- "hey boyyy" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 21, 2026)
- "Jiggly Bow Bow (with Sexyy Red)" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 21, 2026)
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 7, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Nov 7, 2026
- The Voice Season 30 · 2nd Place
- The Voice Season 30 · 3rd Place
- The Voice Season 30 · Top 3
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 7, 2026
- Will a Paul Cézanne artwork break his auction record this year?
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA
- Anthropic share of requests on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel)
- Anthropic share of spend on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel)
- DeepSeek share of requests on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel)
- Google share of requests on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel)
- Google share of spend on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel)
- Moonshot AI share of spend on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel)
- Open source share of spend on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel)
- Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 10, 2026
- OpenAI share of requests on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel)
- OpenAI share of spend on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel)
- Top Open Source AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Video AI this week
- Z.AI share of requests on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel)
- Z.AI share of spend on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel)
- 120th Congress: Who will be House Republican Conference Chair?
- 120th Congress: Will Schumer be reelected by voice vote?
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
- 2028 Democratic VP nominee
- 2028 Presidential matchup
- How many Knesset seats will Israel's next government hold?
- Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections?
- Mongolian presidential election winner?
- What kind of government will Israel form?
- Who will be House Democratic Caucus Vice Chair?
- Who will win the 2027 RNC Chair election?
- Will Andy Beshear announce a presidential run?
- Will Cindy Hyde-Smith concede?
- Will Cory Booker announce a presidential run?
- Will J.B. Pritzker announce a presidential run?
- Will John Thune be elected Senate Republican leader on Nov 10?
- Will Josh Shapiro announce a presidential run?
- Will Mark Kelly announce a presidential run?
- Will Rahm Emanuel announce a presidential run?
- Will Ro Khanna announce a presidential run?
- Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run?
- Will Thomas Massie announce a presidential run?
- Will Wes Moore announce a presidential run?
- Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms?
- How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
- How many House members will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?
- How many House votes for Epstein Files Transparency Act II?
- How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck?
- How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2027?
- How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2028?
- Jim McDonnell announces departure as LAPD Chief?
- Trump's VoteHub approval rating on Nov 13, 2026?
- When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
- When will the Knesset elect a Speaker?
- Who will a House committee vote to subpoena before 2028?
- Who will be Brazilian defense minister after the election?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
- Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
- Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
- Will Abbott call a special session before Hinojosa takes office?
- Will John Fetterman resign from the Senate before 2028?
- Will Mike Johnson announce he is leaving the House?
- Will the House hold any Cabinet member in contempt of Congress before 2028?
- Will the House pass a Medicare for All bill?
- Will the House pass the Epstein Files Transparency Act II?
- Will Trump publicly criticize JD Vance?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Nov 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Nov 9, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Nov 9, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Nov 9, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Nov 9, 2026?
- American Airlines Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- BCE mobile phone activations in Q4 2026
- Disney+ app downloads in November 2026
- DoorDash app downloads in November 2026
- Duolingo daily active users in Q1 2027
- Frontier Airlines load factor in Q4 2026
- GBP/USD at 3:00am ET · UK GDP
- JetBlue average fare in Q4 2026
- JetBlue load factor in Q4 2026
- McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q1 2027
- McDonald's total systemwide restaurants in Q1 2027
- Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth in November 2026
- Paramount+ app downloads in November 2026
- Pepsi Point of Sale Growth in November 2026
- Red Bull Point of Sale Growth in November 2026
- Rockstar Energy Point of Sale Growth in November 2026
- S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes
- S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes
- S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes
- S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes
- S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes
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- S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes
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- S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes
- S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes
- S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes
- Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027
- TELUS internet additions in Q4 2026
- Uber - Request a ride app downloads in November 2026
- US 10Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · CPI
- US 10Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · jobs report
- US 10Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP
- US 10Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP
- US 2Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · CPI
- US 2Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · jobs report
- US 2Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP
- US 2Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP
- US 30Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · CPI
- US 30Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · jobs report
- US 30Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP
- US 30Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP
- US 5Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · CPI
- US 5Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · CPI
- US 5Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · jobs report
- US 5Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP
- US 5Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP
- USD/JPY at 7:50pm ET · BOJ Summary of Opinions
- USD/MXN at 3:00pm ET · Banxico rate decision
- Who will acquire Letterboxd?
All New Events
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 2 markets
Stowe Mountain Resort snowfall total by December 24th — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 10:31 AM ET
📊 Economics — 1 event, 4 markets
How many days will U.S. cattle imports from Sonora be suspended? — 4 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 4:03 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| 90 days or more | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 60 days or more | bid 3¢ / ask 13¢ |
| 30 days or more | bid 7¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 120 days or more | bid 2¢ / ask 7¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 11 events, 182 markets
The Voice Season 30 · Top 3 — 28 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 11:43 AM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Owen Uffens | — |
| Nina Howland | — |
| Marcus Ladden Jr. | — |
| Mia Knight | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Lexi Stephens | — |
| Lillie Kolich | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Keiyana Osmond | — |
| Kayleigh Mathews | — |
| Koumba Diallo | — |
| Kyle Davis | — |
| Joey Henley | — |
| Ferryn & Brinkley | — |
| Evan James | — |
| Everett Bounds | — |
| Destinee Monroe | — |
| Dakota Cohen | — |
| Cade Mower | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Chari | — |
| Connor Closs | — |
| Brooklyn Marie | — |
| Bryan Jaymes | — |
| BigCountry | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Brandon Diaz | — |
| Brianna Cameron | — |
| Allie Rae | — |
+ 3 more outcomes
The Voice Season 30 · 3rd Place — 28 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 11:39 AM ET
Tracking: Owen Uffens, Nina Howland, Marcus Ladden Jr., Mia Knight, Lexi Stephens, Lillie Kolich, Keiyana Osmond, Kayleigh Mathews, Koumba Diallo, Kyle Davis, Joey Henley, Ferryn & Brinkley, Evan James, Everett Bounds, Destinee Monroe, Dakota Cohen, Cade Mower, Chari, Connor Closs, Brooklyn Marie, Bryan Jaymes, BigCountry, Brandon Diaz, Brianna Cameron, Allie Rae, +3 more
The Voice Season 30 · 2nd Place — 28 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 11:37 AM ET
Tracking: Owen Uffens, Nina Howland, Marcus Ladden Jr., Mia Knight, Lexi Stephens, Lillie Kolich, Keiyana Osmond, Kayleigh Mathews, Koumba Diallo, Kyle Davis, Joey Henley, Ferryn & Brinkley, Evan James, Everett Bounds, Destinee Monroe, Dakota Cohen, Cade Mower, Chari, Connor Closs, Brooklyn Marie, Bryan Jaymes, BigCountry, Brandon Diaz, Brianna Cameron, Allie Rae, +3 more
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 5:07 AM ET
Tracking: गुज़ारिश, 체포하겠어, Пешта, Training Season, Tarantino, SaWaDiKa, NEON, KALYANI (Remix), FIRESTARTER (feat. Sophie Powers, MIYEON & SOYEON), Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo (feat. Priyanshi Srivastava), BbY WOW, Barsaat, Alfaaz, Ala Bolelo
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 7, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 5:07 AM ET
Tracking: Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Veezha Veera (From "OM Chapter 1: Udhiram - The Blood Wood") [Hindi], Tu Mil Jaaye (From "KING"), Shararat, Save Your Tears, POKITO, KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 14: z5y8Clp_TdE], KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 8: xvT1jH8B9AM], Jaiye Sajana, Guzarish, GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 7, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 5:07 AM ET
Tracking: Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Veezha Veera (From "OM Chapter 1: Udhiram - The Blood Wood") [Hindi], Tu Mil Jaaye (From "KING"), Shararat, Save Your Tears, POKITO, KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 14: z5y8Clp_TdE], KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 8: xvT1jH8B9AM], Jaiye Sajana, Guzarish, GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 5:07 AM ET
Tracking: WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage), What You Need, Thriller, Thin Ice, Tarantino, SaWaDiKa, Nicole Kidman, Housewife, Hootie Frutti, Golden, FIRESTARTER (feat. Sophie Powers, MIYEON & SOYEON), expectations, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, BbY WOW
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Nov 7, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 5:07 AM ET
Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, Tina Tuesday, POKITO, Nicole Kidman, Kevin Gates - This Dat, K/DA - FIRESTARTER ft. MIYEON and SOYEON of i-dle, Sophie Powers, Mimi Webb (Official Music Video), Janice STFU, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, BbY WOW, Alma Rota, All I Want for Christmas Is You (Make My Wish Come True Edition), AH HA, Additup - Gangsta B*tch | From The Block Performance 🎙
"Jiggly Bow Bow (with Sexyy Red)" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 21, 2026) — 11 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 1:58 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Rank 7 to 10 | — |
| Rank 75 to 100 | — |
| Rank 5 to 6 | — |
| Rank 51 to 74 | — |
| Rank 41 to 50 | — |
| Rank 3 to 4 | — |
| Rank 31 to 40 | — |
| Rank 21 to 30 | — |
| Rank 1 to 2 | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| Rank 16 to 20 | — |
| Rank 11 to 15 | — |
"hey boyyy" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 21, 2026) — 11 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 1:54 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Rank 7 to 10 | — |
| Rank 75 to 100 | — |
| Rank 5 to 6 | — |
| Rank 51 to 74 | — |
| Rank 41 to 50 | — |
| Rank 3 to 4 | — |
| Rank 31 to 40 | — |
| Rank 21 to 30 | — |
| Rank 1 to 2 | ask 75¢ (no bids) |
| Rank 16 to 20 | — |
| Rank 11 to 15 | — |
Will a Paul Cézanne artwork break his auction record this year?: Above $137.79M — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 4:59 PM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 16 events, 159 markets
Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Tracking: VUI Labs, StepFun, SpeechifyAI, SpaceXAI, Smallest.ai, OpenAI, Nvidia, Mistral, MiniMax, Inworld, Google, Fish Audio, ElevenLabs, Cartesia, Async, Amazon, Alibaba
Top Open Source AI this week — 13 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Tracking: Xiaomi, Thinking Machines, OpenAI, Nvidia, Mistral, MiniMax, Meta, Kimi, Google, GLM, DeepSeek, Cohere, Alibaba
Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Tracking: SpaceXAI, Reve, Recraft, OpenAI, Nvidia, Microsoft, Krea, HiDream, Google, Bytedance, Black Forest Labs
Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Tracking: Vidu, SpaceXAI, Skywork AI, PixVerse, MiniMax, Lightricks, KlingAI, Google, ByteDance, Alibaba
Open source share of spend on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 10, 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Google share of spend on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Z.AI share of spend on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Moonshot AI share of spend on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9.7% | ask 55¢ (no bids) |
| Above 8.5% | ask 55¢ (no bids) |
| Above 8.2% | ask 58¢ (no bids) |
| Above 7.7% | — |
| Above 7.1% | bid 18¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 5.6% | bid 5¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 17.3% | ask 52¢ (no bids) |
| Above 13.6% | ask 52¢ (no bids) |
| Above 10.6% | ask 62¢ (no bids) |
OpenAI share of spend on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 19.4% | ask 52¢ (no bids) |
| Above 18.2% | — |
| Above 17.1% | ask 55¢ (no bids) |
| Above 16.3% | ask 52¢ (no bids) |
| Above 15.8% | ask 55¢ (no bids) |
| Above 14.5% | bid 6¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 13.8% | bid 45¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 13.3% | bid 5¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above 13.0% | — |
Anthropic share of spend on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 41.8% | — |
| Above 39.4% | ask 52¢ (no bids) |
| Above 39.1% | ask 52¢ (no bids) |
| Above 36.8% | ask 52¢ (no bids) |
| Above 35.6% | ask 52¢ (no bids) |
| Above 34.5% | — |
| Above 33.0% | ask 52¢ (no bids) |
| Above 31.1% | bid 6¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 30.9% | bid 6¢ / ask 52¢ |
Z.AI share of requests on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Google share of requests on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9.7% | ask 55¢ (no bids) |
| Above 9.4% | ask 62¢ (no bids) |
| Above 9.0% | ask 55¢ (no bids) |
| Above 8.9% | ask 58¢ (no bids) |
| Above 8.6% | bid 15¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 10.8% | ask 55¢ (no bids) |
| Above 10.5% | ask 52¢ (no bids) |
| Above 10.2% | ask 55¢ (no bids) |
| Above 10.0% | ask 55¢ (no bids) |
OpenAI share of requests on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 23.6% | ask 58¢ (no bids) |
| Above 22.8% | ask 52¢ (no bids) |
| Above 21.9% | ask 58¢ (no bids) |
| Above 20.8% | ask 58¢ (no bids) |
| Above 20.4% | — |
| Above 20.1% | ask 62¢ (no bids) |
| Above 19.7% | ask 55¢ (no bids) |
| Above 19.2% | ask 62¢ (no bids) |
| Above 18.3% | ask 58¢ (no bids) |
Anthropic share of requests on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8.3% | ask 62¢ (no bids) |
| Above 8.1% | ask 58¢ (no bids) |
| Above 7.8% | ask 58¢ (no bids) |
| Above 7.4% | ask 62¢ (no bids) |
| Above 7.3% | ask 62¢ (no bids) |
| Above 7.2% | ask 55¢ (no bids) |
| Above 7.0% | — |
| Above 6.4% | bid 6¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 6.0% | — |
DeepSeek share of requests on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 16.3% | ask 55¢ (no bids) |
| Above 15.4% | ask 52¢ (no bids) |
| Above 14.4% | — |
| Above 13.6% | ask 52¢ (no bids) |
| Above 13.1% | ask 62¢ (no bids) |
| Above 12.7% | ask 58¢ (no bids) |
| Above 12.3% | bid 48¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 12.0% | bid 6¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 11.5% | bid 6¢ / ask 72¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 23 events, 123 markets
2028 Presidential matchup — 14 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 5:56 PM ET
Tracking: Jon Ossoff v. Ron DeSantis, Gavin Newsom v. Ron DeSantis, AOC v. Ron DeSantis, Josh Shapiro v. Ron DeSantis, Kamala Harris v. Ron DeSantis, Pete Buttigieg v. Ron DeSantis, Andy Beshear v. Ron DeSantis, James Talarico v. Ron DeSantis, Raphael Warnock v. JD Vance, Raphael Warnock v. Marco Rubio, Raphael Warnock v. Ron DeSantis, Mark Kelly v. JD Vance, Mark Kelly v. Marco Rubio, Mark Kelly v. Ron DeSantis
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run? — 9 outcomes — listed Nov 05, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 72¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Before May 1, 2027 | bid 39¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | bid 16¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | bid 47¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 55¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
Will Mark Kelly announce a presidential run? — 8 outcomes — listed Nov 05, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 74¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Before May 1, 2027 | bid 60¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | bid 50¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | bid 64¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 68¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 3¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | bid 37¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 57¢ / ask 64¢ |
Will Cory Booker announce a presidential run? — 8 outcomes — listed Nov 05, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 77¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Before May 1, 2027 | bid 62¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | bid 50¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | bid 66¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 70¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | bid 22¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 57¢ / ask 66¢ |
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a presidential run? — 8 outcomes — listed Nov 05, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 86¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Before May 1, 2027 | bid 68¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | bid 56¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | bid 72¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 76¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 35¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | bid 50¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 62¢ / ask 72¢ |
Will Ro Khanna announce a presidential run? — 8 outcomes — listed Nov 05, 2026 at 11:29 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Before May 1, 2027 | bid 87¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | bid 83¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | bid 88¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 63¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | bid 80¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 85¢ / ask 95¢ |
Will Andy Beshear announce a presidential run? — 8 outcomes — listed Nov 05, 2026 at 11:29 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 87¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Before May 1, 2027 | bid 76¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | bid 69¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | bid 79¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 82¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 12¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | bid 66¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 72¢ / ask 82¢ |
Will Wes Moore announce a presidential run? — 7 outcomes — listed Nov 05, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 57¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Before May 1, 2027 | bid 25¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | bid 8¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | bid 33¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 40¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 20¢ / ask 29¢ |
Will Josh Shapiro announce a presidential run? — 7 outcomes — listed Nov 05, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 76¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Before May 1, 2027 | bid 52¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | bid 35¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | bid 57¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 63¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | bid 6¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 43¢ / ask 52¢ |
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a presidential run? — 7 outcomes — listed Nov 05, 2026 at 11:29 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 70¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Before May 1, 2027 | bid 20¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | bid 4¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | bid 30¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 43¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 11¢ / ask 21¢ |
How many Knesset seats will Israel's next government hold? — 6 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:10 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 70 | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| At least 66 | bid 18¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least 61 | bid 45¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least 55 | bid 57¢ / ask 67¢ |
| At least 50 | bid 59¢ / ask 69¢ |
| At least 45 | bid 65¢ / ask 75¢ |
Will Thomas Massie announce a presidential run? — 6 outcomes — listed Nov 05, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 57¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Before May 1, 2027 | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | bid 15¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | bid 36¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 42¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 21¢ / ask 31¢ |
2028 Democratic VP nominee — 5 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Gina Hinojosa | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mikie Sherrill | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| David Crowley | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Amy Acton | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Andy Kim | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
Will Cindy Hyde-Smith concede? — 4 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 4:48 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Nov 21, 2026 | bid 60¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Before Nov 14, 2026 | bid 25¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Before Nov 11, 2026 | bid 3¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Before Jan 4, 2027 | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional) — 4 brackets — listed Nov 05, 2026 at 10:41 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Democrats, ≥13.5% | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Democrats, ≥14.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Democrats, ≥15% | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Democrats, ≥15.5% | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
What kind of government will Israel form? — 3 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:10 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| No government | bid 27¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Minority government | bid 19¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Majority government | bid 39¢ / ask 49¢ |
120th Congress: Who will be House Republican Conference Chair? — 3 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Lisa McClain | bid 55¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Greg Steube | bid 8¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Erin Houchin | bid 8¢ / ask 18¢ |
Who will win the 2027 RNC Chair election? — 2 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 3:51 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| KC Crosbie | bid 19¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Joe Gruters | bid 65¢ / ask 75¢ |
Who will be House Democratic Caucus Vice Chair? — 2 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Sara Jacobs | bid 50¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Lauren Underwood | bid 40¢ / ask 50¢ |
Mongolian presidential election winner?: Sainbuyangiin Amarsaikhan — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 5:34 PM ET
Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections?: Dada Morero (bid 1¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 5:34 PM ET
Will John Thune be elected Senate Republican leader on Nov 10?: Yes (bid 84¢ / ask 93¢) — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 1:41 PM ET
120th Congress: Will Schumer be reelected by voice vote?: Yes (bid 68¢ / ask 75¢) — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 23 events, 129 markets
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — 25 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 2:03 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Todd Blanche | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Scott Turner | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Stephen Miller | bid 4¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Sean Duffy | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Scott Bessent | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Russell Vought | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Pete Hegseth | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Mike Waltz | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Marco Rubio | bid 12¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Markwayne Mullin | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Michael Kratsios | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Lee Zeldin | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Linda McMahon | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| Keith Sonderling | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Kelly Loeffler | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| John Ratcliffe | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Jamieson Greer | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Jay Clayton | bid 3¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Howard Lutnick | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Doug Collins | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Doug Burgum | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Chris Wright | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Christopher Phelan | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Brooke Rollins | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
Who will a House committee vote to subpoena before 2028? — 18 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 2:55 PM ET
View market options (18 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tom Homan | — |
| Todd Blanche | — |
| Steve Witkoff | — |
| Stephen Miller | bid 5¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Scott Bessent | — |
| Russ Vought | — |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | — |
| Pete Hegseth | — |
| Pam Bondi | — |
| Kash Patel | — |
| Kristi Noem | — |
| JD Vance | — |
| Jared Kushner | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| Howard Lutnick | — |
| Eric Trump | — |
| Elon Musk | bid 2¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Donald Trump Jr. | bid 3¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Corey Lewandowski | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2028? — 12 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 3:29 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 | bid 26¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least 8 | bid 35¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least 7 | bid 46¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least 6 | bid 58¢ / ask 68¢ |
| At least 5 | bid 70¢ / ask 80¢ |
| At least 4 | bid 79¢ / ask 89¢ |
| At least 3 | bid 87¢ / ask 97¢ |
| At least 2 | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least 13 | bid 3¢ / ask 13¢ |
| At least 12 | bid 6¢ / ask 16¢ |
| At least 11 | bid 11¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least 10 | bid 17¢ / ask 27¢ |
How many House votes for Epstein Files Transparency Act II? — 11 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 220 | bid 35¢ / ask 45¢ |
| 400-435 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 380-399 | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| 360-379 | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| 340-359 | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| 320-339 | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| 300-319 | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| 280-299 | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| 260-279 | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 240-259 | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 220-239 | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
Trump's VoteHub approval rating on Nov 13, 2026? — 8 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 2:52 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 37.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 39.0-39.2% | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 38.7-38.9% | bid 9¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 38.4-38.6% | bid 23¢ / ask 33¢ |
| 38.1-38.3% | bid 16¢ / ask 26¢ |
| 37.8-38.0% | bid 9¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 37.5-37.7% | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 39.2% | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — 8 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before May 2027 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Before Mar 2027 | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Before Jun 2027 | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Before Jul 2027 | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Before Jan 2027 | bid 81¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Before Feb 2027 | bid 88¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Before Apr 2027 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Before Dec 2026 | bid 48¢ / ask 58¢ |
How many House members will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth? — 7 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 240 | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 230 | bid 10¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 18¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 220 | bid 34¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 215 | bid 44¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 210 | bid 50¢ / ask 60¢ |
How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2027? — 5 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 3:28 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 5 | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| At least 4 | bid 10¢ / ask 20¢ |
| At least 3 | bid 26¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least 2 | bid 52¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least 1 | bid 81¢ / ask 91¢ |
When will the Knesset elect a Speaker? — 5 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:10 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 77¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Before Nov 18, 2026 | bid 46¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Before Nov 13, 2026 | bid 13¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Before Nov 11, 2026 | bid 6¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 64¢ / ask 74¢ |
Will Trump publicly criticize JD Vance? — 4 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 37¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 17¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 32¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 10¢ / ask 20¢ |
Jim McDonnell announces departure as LAPD Chief? — 4 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 75¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 67¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 30¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 57¢ / ask 67¢ |
Will Mike Johnson announce he is leaving the House? — 4 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 31¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 22¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 5¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 15¢ / ask 25¢ |
Who will be Brazilian defense minister after the election? — 3 outcomes — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 5:33 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Geraldo Alckmin | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Márcio Elias Rosa | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Carlos Alberto dos Santos Cruz | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027? — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET
How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck? — 3 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 4:27 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 150 | bid 40¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least 175 | bid 30¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least 200 | bid 16¢ / ask 26¢ |
Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms? — 2 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 4:27 PM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 107 | bid 29¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above 115 | bid 8¢ / ask 17¢ |
Will the House hold any Cabinet member in contempt of Congress before 2028?: Any Cabinet member (bid 47¢ / ask 57¢) — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET
Will John Fetterman resign from the Senate before 2028?: Before 2028 (bid 15¢ / ask 21¢) — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 3:04 PM ET
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?: Will Scharf (bid 16¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET
Will Abbott call a special session before Hinojosa takes office?: Yes (bid 5¢ / ask 15¢) — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET
Will the House pass a Medicare for All bill?: Yes (bid 1¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET
Will the House pass the Epstein Files Transparency Act II?: Yes (bid 53¢ / ask 63¢) — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?: Elon Musk (bid 9¢ / ask 14¢) — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:43 PM ET
💹 Financials — 69 events, 1,115 markets
US 30Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:27 PM ET
US 30Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:27 PM ET
US 30Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · CPI — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:27 PM ET
US 30Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · jobs report — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:27 PM ET
US 10Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:26 PM ET
US 10Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:26 PM ET
US 10Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · CPI — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:26 PM ET
US 10Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · jobs report — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:26 PM ET
US 5Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:24 PM ET
US 5Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:24 PM ET
US 5Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · CPI — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:24 PM ET
US 5Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · jobs report — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:24 PM ET
US 2Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:23 PM ET
US 2Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:23 PM ET
US 2Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · CPI — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:23 PM ET
US 2Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · jobs report — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 1:23 PM ET
US 5Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · CPI — 51 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 11:35 AM ET
USD/MXN at 3:00pm ET · Banxico rate decision — 21 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET
USD/JPY at 7:50pm ET · BOJ Summary of Opinions — 21 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET
GBP/USD at 3:00am ET · UK GDP — 21 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET
30Y US Treasury yield on Nov 9, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.39% or above | — |
| 5.37% or above | — |
| 5.35% or above | — |
| 5.33% or above | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| 5.31% or above | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 5.29% or above | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| 5.27% or above | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| 5.25% or above | — |
| 5.23% or above | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| 5.21% or above | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| 5.19% or above | — |
| 5.17% or above | bid 60¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.15% or above | bid 60¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.13% or above | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
| 5.11% or above | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
10Y US Treasury yield on Nov 9, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.99% or above | — |
| 4.97% or above | — |
| 4.95% or above | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| 4.93% or above | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| 4.91% or above | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 4.89% or above | — |
| 4.87% or above | — |
| 4.85% or above | — |
| 4.83% or above | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| 4.81% or above | — |
| 4.79% or above | — |
| 4.77% or above | — |
| 4.75% or above | — |
| 4.73% or above | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| 4.71% or above | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
7Y US Treasury yield on Nov 9, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.84% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 16¢ |
| 4.82% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 23¢ |
| 4.8% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 33¢ |
| 4.78% or above | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 4.76% or above | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| 4.74% or above | bid 55¢ / ask 75¢ |
| 4.72% or above | bid 68¢ / ask 88¢ |
| 4.7% or above | bid 77¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.68% or above | bid 84¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.66% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.64% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.62% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.6% or above | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
| 4.58% or above | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
| 4.56% or above | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
5Y US Treasury yield on Nov 9, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.74% or above | — |
| 4.72% or above | — |
| 4.7% or above | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| 4.68% or above | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 4.66% or above | — |
| 4.64% or above | — |
| 4.62% or above | — |
| 4.6% or above | — |
| 4.58% or above | — |
| 4.56% or above | — |
| 4.54% or above | — |
| 4.52% or above | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| 4.5% or above | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| 4.48% or above | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| 4.46% or above | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
2Y US Treasury yield on Nov 9, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.59% or above | — |
| 4.57% or above | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| 4.55% or above | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 4.53% or above | — |
| 4.51% or above | — |
| 4.49% or above | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| 4.47% or above | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| 4.45% or above | — |
| 4.43% or above | — |
| 4.41% or above | — |
| 4.39% or above | bid 60¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.37% or above | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| 4.35% or above | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| 4.33% or above | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| 4.31% or above | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
Frontier Airlines load factor in Q4 2026 — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 12:39 PM ET
JetBlue load factor in Q4 2026 — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 12:37 PM ET
TELUS internet additions in Q4 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 12:38 PM ET
BCE mobile phone activations in Q4 2026 — 8 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:38 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 90,000 | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 80,000 | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 70,000 | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 60,000 | bid 9¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 50,000 | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 40,000 | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 30,000 | bid 73¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 20,000 | bid 87¢ / ask 95¢ |
JetBlue average fare in Q4 2026 — 8 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:37 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $280 | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above $270 | bid 5¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above $260 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above $250 | bid 68¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above $240 | bid 87¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above $230 | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $220 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $210 | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth in November 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET
McDonald's total systemwide restaurants in Q1 2027 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Duolingo daily active users in Q1 2027 — 3 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 72 million | bid 1¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 73 million | bid 1¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 74 million | bid 1¢ / ask 72¢ |
McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q1 2027 — 3 brackets — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8% | — |
| Above 9% | ask 76¢ (no bids) |
| Above 10% | ask 83¢ (no bids) |
Red Bull Point of Sale Growth in November 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 9:01 AM ET
Uber - Request a ride app downloads in November 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET
DoorDash app downloads in November 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET
Disney+ app downloads in November 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 06, 2026 at 2:01 AM ET
Pepsi Point of Sale Growth in November 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 05, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET
Rockstar Energy Point of Sale Growth in November 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 05, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Paramount+ app downloads in November 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 05, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 05, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
American Airlines Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 05, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Up or Down - 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Who will acquire Letterboxd?: New York Times — listed Nov 06, 2026 at 10:25 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
6,140 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 4,612 | 26 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, US 30Y Treasury yield hourly, +23 more |
| 📊 Economics | 1,020 | 61 | Illinois gas price, Florida gas price, TX gas price, +58 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 372 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 119 | 21 | Will Trump do anything today?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, Traffic through the Panama Canal, +18 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 17 | 3 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, RUNNER UP NETFLIX MOVIE, Netflix movie ranking |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.