📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 03 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 04 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 367 unique markets across 54 new events, plus 899 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 11, 2026?: Troy Jackson, Sherrod Brown, Mary Peltola all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/4-9/11): Above 5.6% — bid 65¢ / ask 66¢
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/4-9/11): Above 38.8% — bid 48¢ / ask 49¢
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 9 elimination: Angela Murray bid 16¢ / ask 17¢, Melody Morris bid 2¢ / ask 4¢, Dee Valladares bid 35¢ / ask 38¢
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 5, 2026: KALYANI (Remix) bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip bid 1¢ / ask 21¢, Dai Dai bid 2¢ / ask 26¢
Top Text to Speech AI this week: VUI Labs, StepFun, SpeechifyAI all at bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13): Above 250 bid 2¢ / ask 6¢, Above 175 bid 84¢ / ask 90¢, Above 150 bid 90¢ / ask 98¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Top Open Source AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Video AI this week
- Diesel price at year-end 2026
- Diesel price on Election Day
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Sep 4, 2026
- How high will US diesel prices get in 2026?
- How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?
- Big Brother Season 28 · Week 9 elimination
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 5, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 5, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 5, 2026
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA
- Alabama Supreme Court Place 8 winner?
- California Insurance Commissioner winner?
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/4-9/11)
- Montana Supreme Court winner?
- Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice winner?
- Texas Supreme Court Place 2 winner?
- Texas Supreme Court Place 7 winner?
- Texas Supreme Court Place 8 winner?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 5, 2026?
- Washington Supreme Court Position 3 winner?
- Washington Supreme Court Position 5 winner?
- Will Eric Rosen be retained on the Kansas Supreme Court?
- Will Paul Wilson be retained on the Missouri Supreme Court?
- Will Robert Jarosh be retained on the Wyoming Supreme Court?
- America PAC 2026 total disbursements?
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (8/31-9/6)
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/7-9/13)
- How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (9/6-9/12)
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/5-9/11)
- Missouri: U.S. House nominee method
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?
- Which leaders will meet before 2027?
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 11, 2026?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Will HHS's youth gender-care policy take effect Oct. 13?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/6 - 9/12)
- Will Maryland Question 3 pass?
- Will the US create a national AI regulator?
- Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands?
- Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/4-9/11)
- Will Trump's revised birthright order take effect?
All New Events
💹 Financials — 1 event, 3 markets
Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3 — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 03, 2026 at 7:53 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Above -1% | bid 32¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above -2% | bid 37¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above -3% | bid 63¢ / ask 72¢ |
🔬 Science and Technology — 4 events, 51 markets
Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (17 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| VUI Labs | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| StepFun | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| SpeechifyAI | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Smallest.ai | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Mistral | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Inworld | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ | |
| Fish Audio | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| ElevenLabs | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Cartesia | bid 81¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Async | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Amazon | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 3¢ / ask 11¢ |
Top Open Source AI this week — 13 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xiaomi | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Thinking Machines | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Mistral | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Meta | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Kimi | bid 65¢ / ask 74¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ | |
| GLM | bid 20¢ / ask 29¢ |
| DeepSeek | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Cohere | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Reve | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Recraft | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 86¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Microsoft | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Krea | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| HiDream | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ | |
| Bytedance | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Black Forest Labs | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (10 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vidu | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Skywork AI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| PixVerse | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Lightricks | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| KlingAI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| bid 35¢ / ask 42¢ | |
| ByteDance | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 55¢ / ask 63¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 83 markets
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Пешта, Tera Mera Rishta, Sunflower, Shararat, Sebebi Yar (Live), Life Goes On, KALYANI (Remix), ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Hootie Frutti, Golden, Gehra Hua, Dai Dai, Bloody Paradise, Barsaat, Animal
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 5, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | ask 88¢ (no bids) |
| Training Season (Live) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| @SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Parvati | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
| NEXZ(넥스지) "SAUCIN'" M/V | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 88¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 5, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 1¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Training Season (Live) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| @SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Parvati | ask 88¢ (no bids) |
| NEXZ(넥스지) "SAUCIN'" M/V | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 2¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| What You Need | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Sunflower | — |
| Reap What You Sow | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Pink Blush | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| misery. | — |
| Life Goes On | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Jolene | — |
| Janice STFU | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Hootie Frutti | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Choosin' Texas | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Animal | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| 9 to 5 | — |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 5, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Still | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Look Like My Mama | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| DOLCE VITA | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dead Fresh | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | ask 87¢ (no bids) |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Belly Gang Kushington - WTF GOIN (Official Music Video) ft. 21 Savage | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| BbY WOW | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| AH HA | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 9 To 5 (Official Video) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 9 elimination — 8 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 11:23 AM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yash Patel | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Taylor Brown | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Rick Devens | bid 26¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Melody Morris | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Drew Campbell | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Dee Valladares | bid 35¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Angela Murray | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
📊 Economics — 6 events, 94 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.900 | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.895 | last 7¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.890 | last 96¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.885 | — |
| Above $5.880 | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.875 | bid 13¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.870 | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.865 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.860 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.855 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.850 | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.845 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.840 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.835 | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.830 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.825 | bid 20¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.820 | bid 13¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.815 | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.810 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.805 | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.800 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Diesel price at year-end 2026 — 19 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET
Diesel price on Election Day — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET
EV commodity prices on Sep 4, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 03, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1304.21 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1294.21 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1284.21 | ask 13¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1274.21 | ask 34¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1264.21 | ask 45¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1254.21 | ask 70¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1244.21 | bid 46¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 1234.21 | bid 62¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1224.21 | bid 72¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1214.21 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1204.21 | bid 66¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1194.21 | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1184.21 | bid 87¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1174.21 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1164.21 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
How low will US diesel prices get in 2026? — 12 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 1:46 PM ET
How high will US diesel prices get in 2026? — 12 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 1:46 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 14 events, 31 markets
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 5, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 39.5% | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| 40.1% | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 40.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 39.9% | bid 60¢ / ask 64¢ |
| 39.8% | bid 17¢ / ask 22¢ |
| 39.7% | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| 39.6% | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| 39.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 40.1% | bid 5¢ / ask 11¢ |
California Insurance Commissioner winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET
Tracking: Jane Kim, Ben Allen
Montana Supreme Court winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 6:18 PM ET
Tracking: Dan Wilson, Amy Eddy
Washington Supreme Court Position 3 winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 6:18 PM ET
Tracking: Jaime Hawk, David Stevens
Washington Supreme Court Position 5 winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 6:18 PM ET
Tracking: Theo Angelis, Dave Larson
Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 6:17 PM ET
Tracking: Maggie Ellis, Jimmy Blacklock
Texas Supreme Court Place 2 winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 6:17 PM ET
Tracking: James P. Sullivan, Chari Kelly
Texas Supreme Court Place 7 winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 6:17 PM ET
Tracking: Kyle Hawkins, Kristen Hawkins
Texas Supreme Court Place 8 winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 6:16 PM ET
Tracking: Gisela D. Triana, Brett Busby
Alabama Supreme Court Place 8 winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 6:16 PM ET
Tracking: Greg Shaw, AshLeigh Dunham
Will Eric Rosen be retained on the Kansas Supreme Court?: Yes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:17 PM ET
Will Robert Jarosh be retained on the Wyoming Supreme Court?: Yes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:16 PM ET
Will Paul Wilson be retained on the Missouri Supreme Court?: Yes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:16 PM ET
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/4-9/11): Above 5.6% (bid 65¢ / ask 66¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 23 events, 105 markets
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:51 PM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Benny Johnson | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Matt Walsh | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ben Shapiro | — |
| Jack Posobiec | — |
| Mike Cernovich | — |
| Dan Bongino | — |
| Kayleigh McEnany | — |
| Harrison Fields | — |
| Taylor Rogers | last 5¢ (book empty) |
| Hogan Gidley | — |
| Katie Pavlich | — |
| Katie Zacharia | — |
| Lauren Bis | — |
| Pat Adams | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Kaelan Dorr | — |
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13) — 11 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75 | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 45 | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 4¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 35 | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 11¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 41¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 66¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 89¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
Which leaders will meet before 2027? — 11 outcomes — listed Sep 03, 2026 at 7:26 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xi and Zelenskyy | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Takaichi and Xi | bid 61¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Takaichi and Putin | bid 9¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Takaichi and Kim Jong Un | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Putin and Carney | bid 11¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Netanyahu and al-Sharaa | bid 9¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Netanyahu and MBS | bid 4¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Netanyahu and Erdoğan | bid 4¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Modi and Sharif | bid 4¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Lula and Milei | bid 36¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Lee Jae Myung and Kim Jong Un | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 11, 2026? — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Sherrod Brown | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mary Peltola | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| James Talarico | bid 75¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Angie Nixon | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13) — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:14 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| September 13 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| September 12 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| September 11 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| September 10 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| September 9 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| September 8 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| September 7 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/5-9/11) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13) — 6 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:14 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5 | bid 78¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 15¢ / ask 23¢ |
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:17 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 300 | bid 31¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 290 | bid 61¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 280 | bid 87¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 270 | bid 89¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 260 | bid 92¢ / ask 98¢ |
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 3¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 43¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 84¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 150 | bid 90¢ / ask 98¢ |
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/7-9/13) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4, 3
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (9/6-9/12) — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET
Missouri: U.S. House nominee method — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 03, 2026 at 8:14 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Parties choose nominees | bid 14¢ / ask 23¢ |
| New primaries | bid 4¢ / ask 14¢ |
| No single listed method | bid 4¢ / ask 14¢ |
| August winners carry over | bid 61¢ / ask 70¢ |
America PAC 2026 total disbursements? — 4 brackets — listed Sep 03, 2026 at 7:25 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 90 million dollars | bid 60¢ / ask 70¢ |
| At least 140 million dollars | bid 12¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least 120 million dollars | bid 29¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least 105 million dollars | bid 44¢ / ask 54¢ |
Will the US create a national AI regulator? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 76¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 66¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 51¢ / ask 60¢ |
Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 03, 2026 at 7:26 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Shell | bid 45¢ / ask 54¢ |
| ExxonMobil | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| ConocoPhillips | bid 11¢ / ask 20¢ |
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/6 - 9/12): Above 0 — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/4-9/11): Above 38.8% (bid 48¢ / ask 49¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 11:59 AM ET
Will Trump's revised birthright order take effect?: Before 2027 (bid 7¢ / ask 14¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 11:37 AM ET
Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?: Yes (bid 41¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
Will HHS's youth gender-care policy take effect Oct. 13?: Yes (bid 11¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (8/31-9/6) : 3 (bid 41¢ / ask 51¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 2:24 AM ET
Will Maryland Question 3 pass?: Yes (bid 56¢ / ask 92¢) — listed Sep 03, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET
Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands?: Yes (bid 9¢ / ask 13¢) — listed Sep 03, 2026 at 7:24 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
899 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 433 | 56 | Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional DC Temperature, +53 more |
| 📊 Economics | 284 | 19 | Ohio gas price, North Carolina gas price, Pennsylvania gas price, +16 more |
| 💹 Financials | 135 | 7 | S&P 500 range, Nasdaq range, UST 30 Year Daily, +4 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 32 | 4 | Will Trump do anything today?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, President RCP approval rating this week, +1 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.