📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 17 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 18 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 564 unique markets across 52 new events, plus 4,685 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 25, 2026?: Troy Jackson, Sherrod Brown, Mary Peltola all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 11 elimination: Rick Devens bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Melody Morris bid 32¢ / ask 33¢, Drew Campbell bid 49¢ / ask 51¢
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27): Above 250 bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Above 275 bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Above 225 bid 23¢ / ask 25¢
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27): Above 225 bid 29¢ / ask 30¢, Above 200 bid 39¢ / ask 41¢, Above 175 bid 63¢ / ask 65¢
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27): Above 15 bid 95¢ / ask 96¢, Above 10 bid 96¢ / ask 97¢, Above 40 bid 8¢ / ask 10¢
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/18-9/25)?: Above 7.9% — bid 27¢ / ask 28¢
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/18-9/25): Above 38.6% — bid 27¢ / ask 28¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Top Open Source AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Video AI this week
- Big Brother Season 28 · Week 11 elimination
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 19, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 19, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 19, 2026
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/21-9/27)
- How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (9/20-9/26)
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/19-9/25)
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27)
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)
- Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 19, 2026?
- When will the Senate leave for its pre-election recess?
- When will Trump's White House press ban take effect?
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 25, 2026?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/20 - 9/26)
- Will Trump name another news outlet for his White House ban?
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/18-9/25)
- Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026
- CPI core month-over-month in Dec 2026
- CPI core year-over-year in Dec 2026
- CPI year-over-year in Nov 2026?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Sep 18, 2026
- Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?
- Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?
- Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?
- Fed funds rate after Jan 2028 meeting?
- Fed funds rate after Jul 2027 meeting?
- Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting?
- Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2027 meeting?
- Fed median dot plot in December 2026
- How high will US diesel prices get in 2026?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/18-9/25)?: Above 7.9% (bid 27¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:25 AM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 5 events, 52 markets
Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 outcomes — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (17 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| VUI Labs | bid 1¢ / ask 81¢ |
| StepFun | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| SpeechifyAI | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Smallest.ai | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 1¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Mistral | bid 1¢ / ask 81¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Inworld | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| bid 1¢ / ask 81¢ | |
| Fish Audio | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| ElevenLabs | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| Cartesia | bid 15¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Async | bid 1¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Amazon | bid 1¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 2¢ / ask 80¢ |
Top Open Source AI this week — 13 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Tracking: Xiaomi, Thinking Machines, OpenAI, Nvidia, Mistral, MiniMax, Meta, Kimi, Google, GLM, DeepSeek, Cohere, Alibaba
Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 outcomes — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SpaceXAI | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| Reve | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Recraft | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 25¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Nvidia | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| Microsoft | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| Krea | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| HiDream | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| ask 82¢ (no bids) | |
| Bytedance | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| Black Forest Labs | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 outcomes — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (10 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vidu | — |
| SpaceXAI | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| Skywork AI | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| PixVerse | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| MiniMax | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| Lightricks | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| KlingAI | ask 83¢ (no bids) |
| ask 94¢ (no bids) | |
| ByteDance | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Alibaba | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?: Before Sep 30, 2026 (bid 37¢ / ask 96¢) — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET
💹 Financials — 6 events, 77 markets
30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.44% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 5.42% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.4% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 5.38% or above | bid 10¢ / ask 30¢ |
| 5.36% or above | bid 10¢ / ask 30¢ |
| 5.34% or above | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| 5.32% or above | bid 60¢ / ask 80¢ |
| 5.3% or above | bid 85¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 5.28% or above | bid 85¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 5.26% or above | bid 85¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 5.24% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.22% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.2% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.18% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.16% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.09% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.07% or above | bid 6¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 5.05% or above | bid 6¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 5.03% or above | bid 13¢ / ask 33¢ |
| 5.01% or above | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| 4.99% or above | bid 56¢ / ask 76¢ |
| 4.97% or above | bid 69¢ / ask 89¢ |
| 4.95% or above | bid 69¢ / ask 89¢ |
| 4.93% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.91% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.89% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.87% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.85% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.83% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.81% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.99% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 34¢ |
| 4.97% or above | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 4.95% or above | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| 4.93% or above | bid 54¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 4.91% or above | bid 65¢ / ask 85¢ |
| 4.89% or above | bid 75¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 4.87% or above | bid 84¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.85% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.83% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.81% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.79% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.77% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.75% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.73% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.71% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.94% or above | bid 4¢ / ask 14¢ |
| 4.92% or above | bid 7¢ / ask 21¢ |
| 4.9% or above | bid 15¢ / ask 35¢ |
| 4.88% or above | bid 23¢ / ask 43¢ |
| 4.86% or above | bid 44¢ / ask 64¢ |
| 4.84% or above | bid 64¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 4.82% or above | bid 81¢ / ask 93¢ |
| 4.8% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.78% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.76% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.74% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.72% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.7% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.68% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.66% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.79% or above | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| 4.77% or above | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| 4.75% or above | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| 4.73% or above | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| 4.71% or above | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| 4.69% or above | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| 4.67% or above | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| 4.65% or above | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| 4.63% or above | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| 4.61% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.59% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.57% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.55% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.53% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.51% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3 — 2 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 2:48 PM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 166 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above 164 | bid 10¢ / ask 90¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 80 markets
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Пешта | ask 79¢ (no bids) |
| Training Season | bid 2¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Sebebi Yar (Live) | ask 78¢ (no bids) |
| SaWaDiKa | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| Irumudi Kattu | ask 79¢ (no bids) |
| Hootie Frutti | ask 79¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 86¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 6¢ / ask 83¢ |
| CLICK | ask 83¢ (no bids) |
| BbY WOW | ask 86¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 79¢ (no bids) |
| Animal | ask 78¢ (no bids) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 19, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zid | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | bid 6¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 6¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | bid 2¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Parvati | bid 8¢ / ask 75¢ |
| KALYANI (Remix) | bid 6¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Joseph | bid 2¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Jai Jai Ram | bid 6¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Golden | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 7¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barbaadi | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 19, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zid | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | bid 7¢ / ask 86¢ |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Joseph | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Jai Jai Ram | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Barbaadi | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage) | bid 2¢ / ask 71¢ |
| What You Need | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Sunflower | ask 83¢ (no bids) |
| SaWaDiKa | bid 13¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Pink Blush | bid 2¢ / ask 82¢ |
| misery. | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Loser | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Hootie Frutti | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 6¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 7¢ / ask 77¢ |
| BbY WOW | bid 2¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Animal | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| AH HA | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 9 to 5 | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 19, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Triple 3 | bid 2¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Todo Lo Fue | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Sunflower | bid 3¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Lord Verity - Master of Humanity (song) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Joseph | bid 7¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Janice STFU | ask 80¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dead Fresh | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 7¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 5¢ / ask 80¢ |
| BloodHound Q50 - My Girl (Official Music Video) | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| AH HA | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 11 elimination — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Taylor Brown | bid 27¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Rick Devens | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Melody Morris | bid 32¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Drew Campbell | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Dee Valladares | bid 12¢ / ask 19¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 16 events, 82 markets
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — 11 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75 | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 45 | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 8¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 35 | bid 15¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 18¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 41¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 51¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 19, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 39.4% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 40.0% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 39.9% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 39.8% | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 39.7% | bid 7¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 39.6% | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
| 39.5% | bid 6¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 39.4% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 40.0% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 25, 2026? — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Sherrod Brown | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mary Peltola | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| James Talarico | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Angie Nixon | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27) — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| September 27 | bid 8¢ / ask 74¢ |
| September 26 | bid 11¢ / ask 61¢ |
| September 25 | bid 11¢ / ask 66¢ |
| September 24 | bid 7¢ / ask 64¢ |
| September 23 | bid 26¢ / ask 68¢ |
| September 22 | bid 24¢ / ask 66¢ |
| September 21 | bid 17¢ / ask 69¢ |
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/19-9/25) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
When will the Senate leave for its pre-election recess? — 6 outcomes — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 1:33 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 30, 2026 | — |
| Before Sep 26, 2026 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Before Oct 4, 2026 | — |
| Before Oct 3, 2026 | — |
| Before Oct 2, 2026 | — |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | — |
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — 6 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5 | bid 75¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 12¢ / ask 22¢ |
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/21-9/27) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 10:27 AM ET
Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4, 3
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/21 - 9/27) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 300 | bid 16¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 290 | bid 24¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 280 | bid 36¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 270 | bid 50¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 260 | bid 63¢ / ask 74¢ |
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 275 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 250 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 23¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 61¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 90¢ / ask 92¢ |
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 39¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 63¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 150 | bid 76¢ / ask 87¢ |
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (9/20-9/26) — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
When will Trump's White House press ban take effect? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 21, 2026 | bid 35¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 35¢ / ask 50¢ |
Will Trump name another news outlet for his White House ban?: Before Oct 1, 2026 (bid 5¢ (no asks)) — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/20 - 9/26): Above 0 — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:25 AM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/18-9/25): Above 38.6% (bid 27¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:25 AM ET
📊 Economics — 18 events, 272 markets
Fed funds rate after Jan 2028 meeting? — 25 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 9:32 AM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 6.00% | bid 3¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 5.75% | bid 3¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 5.50% | bid 3¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 5.25% | bid 3¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 5.00% | bid 5¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 4.75% | bid 5¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 4.50% | bid 5¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 4.25% | bid 5¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 4.00% | bid 5¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 3.75% | bid 5¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 3.50% | bid 5¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 3.25% | bid 60¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 3.00% | bid 60¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 2.75% | bid 71¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 2.50% | bid 71¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 2.25% | bid 71¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 2.00% | bid 71¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 1.75% | bid 71¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.50% | bid 71¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.25% | bid 71¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.00% | bid 71¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.75% | bid 71¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.50% | bid 70¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.25% | bid 71¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.00% | bid 71¢ / ask 97¢ |
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting? — 25 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 9:29 AM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 6.00% | — |
| Above 5.75% | — |
| Above 5.50% | — |
| Above 5.25% | — |
| Above 5.00% | — |
| Above 4.75% | — |
| Above 4.50% | — |
| Above 4.25% | — |
| Above 4.00% | — |
| Above 3.75% | — |
| Above 3.50% | — |
| Above 3.25% | bid 60¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 3.00% | bid 60¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 2.75% | bid 60¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 2.50% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 2.25% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 2.00% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.75% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.50% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.25% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.00% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.75% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.50% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.25% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.00% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — 25 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 9:26 AM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 6.00% | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 5.75% | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 5.50% | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 5.25% | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 5.00% | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 4.75% | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 4.50% | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 4.25% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 4.00% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 3.75% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 3.50% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 3.25% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 3.00% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 2.75% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 2.50% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 2.25% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 2.00% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.75% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.50% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.25% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.00% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.75% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.50% | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.25% | bid 92¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.00% | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
Fed funds rate after Sep 2027 meeting? — 25 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 9:22 AM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 6.00% | — |
| Above 5.75% | — |
| Above 5.50% | — |
| Above 5.25% | — |
| Above 5.00% | — |
| Above 4.75% | — |
| Above 4.50% | — |
| Above 4.25% | — |
| Above 4.00% | — |
| Above 3.75% | — |
| Above 3.50% | — |
| Above 3.25% | bid 60¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 3.00% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 2.75% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 2.50% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 2.25% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 2.00% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.75% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.50% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.25% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.00% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.75% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.50% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.25% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 0.00% | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
Fed funds rate after Jul 2027 meeting? — 25 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 9:18 AM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 6.00% | — |
| Above 5.75% | — |
| Above 5.50% | — |
| Above 5.25% | — |
| Above 5.00% | — |
| Above 4.75% | — |
| Above 4.50% | — |
| Above 4.25% | — |
| Above 4.00% | — |
| Above 3.75% | — |
| Above 3.50% | — |
| Above 3.25% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 3.00% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 2.75% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 2.50% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 2.25% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 2.00% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1.75% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1.50% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1.25% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1.00% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 0.75% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 0.50% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 0.25% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 0.00% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting? — 25 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 9:14 AM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 6.00% | — |
| Above 5.75% | — |
| Above 5.50% | — |
| Above 5.25% | — |
| Above 5.00% | — |
| Above 4.75% | — |
| Above 4.50% | — |
| Above 4.25% | — |
| Above 4.00% | — |
| Above 3.75% | — |
| Above 3.50% | — |
| Above 3.25% | last 98¢ (book empty) |
| Above 3.00% | last 98¢ (book empty) |
| Above 2.75% | last 98¢ (book empty) |
| Above 2.50% | last 98¢ (book empty) |
| Above 2.25% | last 98¢ (book empty) |
| Above 2.00% | last 98¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1.75% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1.50% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1.25% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1.00% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 0.75% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 0.50% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 0.25% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above 0.00% | last 99¢ (book empty) |
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.500 | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above $6.495 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above $6.490 | bid 25¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above $6.485 | bid 31¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above $6.480 | bid 48¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above $6.475 | bid 70¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above $6.470 | bid 90¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above $6.465 | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.460 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.455 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.450 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.445 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.440 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.435 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.430 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.425 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.420 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.415 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.410 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.405 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.400 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
CPI core year-over-year in Dec 2026 — 16 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 10:54 AM ET
View market strikes (16 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Exactly 3.7% | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 3.6% | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 3.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 3.4% | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 3.3% | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 3.2% | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 3.1% | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 3.0% | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 2.9% | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 2.8% | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 2.7% | bid 3¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 2.6% | bid 7¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Exactly 2.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 2.4% | bid 7¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 2.3% | bid 7¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 2.2% | bid 7¢ / ask 11¢ |
EV commodity prices on Sep 18, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1259.21 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1249.21 | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1239.21 | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1229.21 | bid 13¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 1219.21 | bid 83¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1209.21 | bid 95¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1199.21 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1189.21 | bid 93¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1179.21 | bid 94¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1169.21 | bid 76¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1159.21 | bid 91¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1149.21 | bid 86¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1139.21 | bid 86¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1129.21 | bid 95¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1119.21 | bid 93¢ (no asks) |
Fed median dot plot in December 2026 — 12 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 1:49 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.6% | bid 1¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 4.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above 4.4% | bid 1¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 4.3% | bid 8¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 4.2% | bid 22¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above 4.1% | bid 9¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 4.0% | bid 22¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 3.9% | bid 33¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 3.8% | bid 32¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 3.7% | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above 3.6% | bid 77¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 3.5% | bid 27¢ / ask 98¢ |
CPI core month-over-month in Dec 2026 — 11 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Exactly 1.0% | bid 1¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Exactly 0.9% | bid 1¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Exactly 0.8% | bid 1¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Exactly 0.7% | bid 1¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Exactly 0.6% | bid 1¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Exactly 0.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Exactly 0.4% | bid 2¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Exactly 0.3% | bid 2¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Exactly 0.2% | bid 2¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Exactly 0.1% | bid 2¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Exactly 0.0% | bid 1¢ / ask 50¢ |
CPI year-over-year in Nov 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Exactly 3.6% | bid 1¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Exactly 3.7% | bid 1¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Exactly 3.8% | bid 1¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Exactly 3.9% | bid 1¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Exactly 4.0% | bid 1¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Exactly 4.1% | bid 1¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Exactly 4.2% | bid 1¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Exactly 4.3% | bid 1¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Exactly 4.4% | bid 1¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Exactly 4.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 9:44 AM ET
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 9:41 AM ET
Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 9:37 AM ET
UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026 — 6 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 4:47 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.80% | ask 17¢ (no bids) |
| Above 4.90% | ask 12¢ (no bids) |
| Above 5.00% | ask 11¢ (no bids) |
| Above 5.10% | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| Above 5.20% | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| Above 5.30% | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026 — 6 brackets — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 6:32 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 50% | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 40% | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 30% | bid 11¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 20% | bid 78¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 10% | bid 79¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 0% | bid 67¢ / ask 90¢ |
How high will US diesel prices get in 2026? — 4 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 4:37 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $8.40 | bid 2¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above $8.60 | bid 2¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above $8.80 | bid 2¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above $9.00 | bid 2¢ / ask 37¢ |
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,685 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,797 | 18 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +15 more |
| 📊 Economics | 476 | 33 | Illinois gas price, Michigan gas price, Minnesota gas price, +30 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 365 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 32 | 4 | Will Trump do anything today?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, President RCP approval rating this week, +1 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.