📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 04 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 05 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 182 unique markets across 26 new events, plus 716 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo: Democrats win House & Senate; Republican wins Governor bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Democratic sweep bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Independent wins House; Republicans win Governor & Senate bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Taipei mayoral election winner?: Tang Hsin-min, Lin Chih-cheng, Kuo Hsi all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Pernambuco Governor winner?: Victor Assis, Renan, Professora Camila all at bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Mississauga mayoral election winner?: Mike Matulewicz, Mohsin Khan, Karam Ahmed all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Taichung mayoral election winner?: Hong Li-hua bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Ho Hsin-chun bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, Chiang Chi-chen bid 85¢ / ask 86¢
Serb member of the Presidency winner?: Marinko Bozovic bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Zeljka Cvijanovic bid 85¢ / ask 88¢, Nebojsa Vukanovic bid 6¢ / ask 9¢
Which November Swiss referendums will pass?: War Materiel Act amendment bid 40¢ / ask 41¢, Fair taxes for married couples bid 24¢ / ask 31¢, Fireworks Initiative bid 20¢ / ask 27¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 6, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 6, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 6, 2026
- Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo
- Arizona Corporation Commission party breakdown?
- Bexar County District Attorney winner?
- Brazil Federal District Governor winner?
- California Attorney General winner?
- Croat member of the Presidency winner?
- Hamilton mayoral election winner?
- Hennepin County Attorney winner?
- Iowa State Auditor winner?
- Los Angeles County Sheriff winner?
- Mississauga mayoral election winner?
- Pernambuco Governor winner?
- Richmond, BC mayoral election winner?
- Serb member of the Presidency winner?
- Taichung mayoral election winner?
- Taipei mayoral election winner?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 6, 2026?
- Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
- Will Missouri Proposition A pass?
All New Events
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 3 markets
Rain in Miami in Sep 2026? — 3 brackets — listed Sep 05, 2026 at 7:40 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 14 inches | bid 9¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 15 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above 16 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
📊 Economics — 1 event, 21 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 05, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.930 | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.925 | — |
| Above $5.920 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.915 | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.910 | bid 25¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.905 | bid 30¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $5.900 | bid 36¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above $5.895 | — |
| Above $5.890 | — |
| Above $5.885 | — |
| Above $5.880 | — |
| Above $5.875 | — |
| Above $5.870 | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.865 | — |
| Above $5.860 | — |
| Above $5.855 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.850 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.845 | bid 91¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.840 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.835 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.830 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
🏛️ Politics — 2 events, 6 markets
Steve Feinberg out as Deputy Secretary of Defense? — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 05, 2026 at 12:34 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 21¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 15¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 17¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 22¢ / ask 83¢ |
When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:06 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 60¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 6, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 05, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Tera Mera Rishta, Still, Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, NAA PUSHDE (Teaser) - Neha Kakkar | Akanksha Chaudhary & Yogesh Rawat | Harsh Nussi | Anshul Garg, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat Mein Aaya (Official Video) - Mr Dutt | Tanu Rawat | New Haryanvi Songs 2026, Barbaadi
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 6, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 05, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | — |
| Tera Mera Rishta | — |
| Still | — |
| Shararat | — |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | last 97¢ (book empty) |
| Parvati | — |
| NAA PUSHDE (Teaser) - Neha Kakkar | Akanksha Chaudhary & Yogesh Rawat | Harsh Nussi | Anshul Garg | — |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | — |
| KALYANI (Remix) | — |
| Golden | — |
| Dai Dai | — |
| Basinga Balaalu | — |
| Barsaat Mein Aaya (Official Video) - Mr Dutt | Tanu Rawat | New Haryanvi Songs 2026 | — |
| Barbaadi | — |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 6, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 05, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Sunflower, Still, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, Janice STFU, Golden, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, Belly Gang Kushington - WTF GOIN (Official Music Video) ft. 21 Savage, BbY WOW, AH HA, 9 To 5 (Official Video)
🗳️ Elections — 19 events, 107 markets
Mississauga mayoral election winner? — 14 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Mike Matulewicz | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mohsin Khan | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Karam Ahmed | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Gord Elliott | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Fadi Naami | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Frank Fang | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| David Shaw | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Dipika Damerla | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Carolyn Parrish | bid 46¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Bonnie Crombie | bid 38¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Ana Luisa Vasquez De Espinal | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Alvin Tedjo | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Amjad Jilani | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Aamir Bhatti | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Hamilton mayoral election winner? — 13 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Scarlett Gillespie | bid 3¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Sasha Austin | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Rob Cooper | bid 6¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Pamela Mitchell | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Paul Fromm | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Nathalie Xian Yi Yan | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Kevin Walker | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Keanin Loomis | bid 33¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Erin Janus | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Ejaz Butt | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| David Harrison | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| David Mark Cherkewski | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Andrea Horwath | bid 15¢ / ask 33¢ |
Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo — 12 outcomes — listed Sep 05, 2026 at 12:34 AM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republican sweep | bid 4¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Republicans win House & Governor; Democrat wins Senate | bid 5¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor | bid 2¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House | bid 23¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Independent wins House; Republicans win Governor & Senate | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Independent House, Republican Governor, Democratic Senate | bid 1¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Independent House, Democratic Governor, Republican Senate | bid 1¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Independent wins House; Democrats win Governor & Senate | bid 7¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Republicans win Governor & Senate; Democrat wins House | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Democrats win House & Senate; Republican wins Governor | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Democrats win House & Governor; Republican wins Senate | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Democratic sweep | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
Brazil Federal District Governor winner? — 11 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Rico Pinheiro | bid 2¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Professora Samara Mineiro | bid 2¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Professor Robson | bid 2¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Paula Belmonte | bid 2¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Leandro Grass | bid 2¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Kiko Caputo | bid 2¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Expedito Mendonça | bid 2¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Elisson | bid 2¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Celina Leão | bid 48¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Cappelli | bid 2¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Arruda | bid 4¢ / ask 34¢ |
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 6, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 05, 2026 at 10:01 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 39.6% | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 40.2% | bid 5¢ / ask 57¢ |
| 40.1% | bid 2¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 40.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 59¢ |
| 39.9% | bid 25¢ / ask 79¢ |
| 39.8% | bid 2¢ / ask 58¢ |
| 39.7% | bid 2¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 39.6% | bid 2¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 40.2% | bid 8¢ / ask 30¢ |
Pernambuco Governor winner? — 8 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:11 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Victor Assis | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Raquel Lyra | bid 20¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Renan | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Professora Camila | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| João Campos | bid 20¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Professor Jeremias do Banco | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Ivan Moraes | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Guilherme Fonseca | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Taipei mayoral election winner? — 6 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:11 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tang Hsin-min | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Shen Bo-yang | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Lin Chih-cheng | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Kuo Hsi | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Hsiao Wen-kan | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Chiang Wan-an | bid 90¢ / ask 95¢ |
Richmond, BC mayoral election winner? — 6 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:09 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Sheldon Starrett | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Rob Howard | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Mei Kang | bid 3¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Kash Heed | bid 40¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Dickens Cheung | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Alexa Loo | bid 25¢ / ask 33¢ |
Which November Swiss referendums will pass? — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| War Materiel Act amendment | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Fair taxes for married couples | bid 24¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Fireworks Initiative | bid 20¢ / ask 27¢ |
| AHV VAT financing | bid 62¢ / ask 69¢ |
Taichung mayoral election winner? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Hong Li-hua | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Ho Hsin-chun | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Chiang Chi-chen | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
Serb member of the Presidency winner? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:09 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zeljka Cvijanovic | bid 85¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Nebojsa Vukanovic | bid 6¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Marinko Bozovic | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
Croat member of the Presidency winner? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:09 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zdenko Lucic | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Slaven Kovacevic | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Darijana Filipovic | bid 66¢ / ask 74¢ |
Bexar County District Attorney winner? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:09 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Luz Elena Chapa | bid 63¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Jason Wolff | bid 10¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Ashley Foster | bid 5¢ / ask 33¢ |
Arizona Corporation Commission party breakdown? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:08 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| 1 Republican + 1 Democrat | bid 18¢ / ask 83¢ |
| 2 Republicans | bid 5¢ / ask 77¢ |
| 2 Democrats | bid 9¢ / ask 75¢ |
Los Angeles County Sheriff winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:11 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Robert G. Luna | bid 30¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Alex Villanueva | bid 5¢ / ask 50¢ |
Hennepin County Attorney winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:08 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Cedrick Frazier | bid 23¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Anders Folk | bid 14¢ / ask 77¢ |
California Attorney General winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:08 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Rob Bonta | bid 94¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Michael E. Gates | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
Iowa State Auditor winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Taylor Wettach | bid 17¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Chris Cournoyer | bid 25¢ / ask 83¢ |
Will Missouri Proposition A pass?: Yes (bid 15¢ / ask 94¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:06 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
716 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 430 | 56 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, +53 more |
| 📊 Economics | 271 | 17 | Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, Ohio gas price, North Carolina gas price, +14 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.