Kalshi Markets: Alaska Air, Target, Southwest Air Updates

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 25 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 26 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 941 unique markets across 207 new events, plus 6,178 recurring bracket markets.

🏢 Companies

3 events

29 markets

🗳️ Elections

4 events

7 markets

🏛️ Politics

6 events

12 markets

🎬 Entertainment

17 events

137 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

23 events

203 markets

💹 Financials

154 events

553 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Alaska Air passenger load factor in Q1 2027: Above 78% bid 76¢ / ask 77¢, Above 77.5% bid 84¢ / ask 85¢, Above 77% bid 89¢ / ask 90¢

Target transactions change in Q3 2026: Above 9% bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Above 6.5% bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, Above 6% bid 12¢ / ask 13¢

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q1 2027: Above $217.5 bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Above $212.5 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $222.5 bid 95¢ / ask 98¢

United Airlines passengers in Q1 2027: Above 41.5 million bid 93¢ / ask 94¢, Above 42 million bid 79¢ / ask 95¢, Above 43 million bid 43¢ / ask 93¢

Abercrombie & Fitch Credit Card Spend in October: Above 118 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 123 bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Above 113 bid 4¢ / ask 9¢

"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 5, 2026): Rank 75 to 100 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Rank 51 to 74 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Rank 5 to 6 bid 2¢ / ask 45¢

Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd: Z.ai, Tencent, MiniMax all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🏢 Companies

🗳️ Elections

🏛️ Politics

🎬 Entertainment

🔬 Science and Technology

💹 Financials

All New Events

🏢 Companies — 3 events, 29 markets

Chipotle comparable sales growth in 2026 — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Urban Outfitters total stores in fiscal 2027 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 5:47 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Costco total cardholders in fiscal 2027 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 4:59 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 7 markets

Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:52 AM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Dejan Šoškić	ask 87¢ (no bids)
Radomir Saičić	ask 87¢ (no bids)
Dejan Bodiroga	ask 93¢ (no bids)

Kenya United Opposition presidential flagbearer? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:52 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Eugene Wamalwa	bid 2¢ / ask 18¢
Ndindi Nyoro	bid 2¢ / ask 18¢

Philippine presidential election winner?: Risa Hontiveros (ask 93¢ (no bids)) — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:52 AM ET

Number of Republican governors after the midterms?: At least 20 (bid 93¢ / ask 98¢) — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:47 AM ET

🏛️ Politics — 6 events, 12 markets

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced? — 6 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Dec 15, 2026	bid 66¢ / ask 70¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 70¢ / ask 75¢
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 88¢ / ask 95¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 90¢ / ask 97¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Before May 1, 2027	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢

Will Edmundo González visit Venezuela? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:32 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 71¢ / ask 79¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 59¢ / ask 67¢

Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?: Before 2028 (bid 40¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:47 AM ET

MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements?: Above 600 million dollars (bid 8¢ / ask 17¢) — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:43 AM ET

Will Trump talk to Lula before November?: Before Nov 1, 2026 (bid 30¢ / ask 39¢) — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:28 AM ET

Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Viktor Orbán (bid 12¢ / ask 18¢) — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:20 AM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 17 events, 137 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 27, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	bid 1¢ / ask 81¢
Tarantino (Official Music Video)	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Sweat (Lyric Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Pós (Ao Vivo)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
KALYANI (Remix)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Guzarish	ask 95¢ (no bids)
GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION]	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Drip	ask 95¢ (no bids)
DESERVE	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Dai Dai	bid 15¢ / ask 95¢
シンデレラ - Cinderella	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Casa Tupka Anthemo	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaalu	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Barsaat	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 27, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Tarantino (Official Music Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Sweat (Lyric Video)	—
SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)	—
Pós (Ao Vivo)	—
KALYANI (Remix)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Guzarish	—
GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION]	—
Drip	—
DESERVE	ask 84¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	ask 95¢ (no bids)
シンデレラ - Cinderella	—
Casa Tupka Anthemo	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaalu	—
Barsaat	—

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 27, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yung Miami - Dear JT (Official Visualizer)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
WTF GOIN	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Todo Lo Fue	ask 95¢ (no bids)
The Aura Farmer	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Tarantino (Official Music Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Sweat (Lyric Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
SaWaDiKa	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Nicole Kidman	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Megan Thee Stallion - Thin Ice - Tina Tuesday Freestyle	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Housewife (Official Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Choosin' Texas	ask 85¢ (no bids)
Alma Rota	ask 95¢ (no bids)
AH HA	ask 95¢ (no bids)

"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Jan 2, 2027) — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 12:32 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Rank 7 to 10	bid 1¢ / ask 75¢
Rank 75 to 100	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Rank 5 to 6	bid 2¢ / ask 65¢
Rank 51 to 74	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Rank 41 to 50	bid 1¢ / ask 25¢
Rank 3 to 4	bid 2¢ / ask 63¢
Rank 31 to 40	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Rank 21 to 30	bid 1¢ / ask 64¢
Rank 1 to 2	bid 31¢ / ask 86¢
Rank 16 to 20	bid 1¢ / ask 62¢
Rank 11 to 15	bid 1¢ / ask 75¢

"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 26, 2026) — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Rank 7 to 10	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Rank 75 to 100	bid 1¢ / ask 15¢
Rank 5 to 6	bid 2¢ / ask 82¢
Rank 51 to 74	bid 1¢ / ask 75¢
Rank 41 to 50	bid 1¢ / ask 78¢
Rank 3 to 4	bid 13¢ / ask 86¢
Rank 31 to 40	bid 1¢ / ask 78¢
Rank 21 to 30	bid 1¢ / ask 78¢
Rank 1 to 2	bid 6¢ / ask 84¢
Rank 16 to 20	bid 1¢ / ask 79¢
Rank 11 to 15	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢

"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 19, 2026) — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 12:29 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Rank 7 to 10	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Rank 75 to 100	bid 1¢ / ask 75¢
Rank 5 to 6	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Rank 51 to 74	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Rank 41 to 50	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Rank 3 to 4	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Rank 31 to 40	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Rank 21 to 30	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Rank 1 to 2	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Rank 16 to 20	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Rank 11 to 15	ask 93¢ (no bids)

"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 12, 2026) — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 12:27 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Rank 7 to 10	—
Rank 75 to 100	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Rank 5 to 6	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Rank 51 to 74	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Rank 41 to 50	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Rank 3 to 4	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Rank 31 to 40	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Rank 21 to 30	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Rank 1 to 2	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Rank 16 to 20	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Rank 11 to 15	ask 94¢ (no bids)

"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 5, 2026) — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 12:26 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Rank 7 to 10	bid 2¢ / ask 49¢
Rank 75 to 100	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Rank 5 to 6	bid 2¢ / ask 45¢
Rank 51 to 74	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Rank 41 to 50	bid 1¢ / ask 44¢
Rank 3 to 4	bid 2¢ / ask 45¢
Rank 31 to 40	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Rank 21 to 30	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Rank 1 to 2	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Rank 16 to 20	bid 2¢ / ask 50¢
Rank 11 to 15	bid 2¢ / ask 45¢

"Housewife" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026) — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Rank 7 to 10	last 1¢ (book empty)
Rank 75 to 100	last 1¢ (book empty)
Rank 5 to 6	last 1¢ (book empty)
Rank 51 to 74	last 1¢ (book empty)
Rank 41 to 50	last 1¢ (book empty)
Rank 3 to 4	last 1¢ (book empty)
Rank 31 to 40	last 1¢ (book empty)
Rank 21 to 30	last 1¢ (book empty)
Rank 1 to 2	bid 95¢ / ask 98¢
Rank 16 to 20	last 1¢ (book empty)
Rank 11 to 15	last 1¢ (book empty)

"Thriller" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026) — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 25, 2026 at 6:57 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Rank 7 to 10	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Rank 75 to 100	last 1¢ (book empty)
Rank 5 to 6	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Rank 51 to 74	last 1¢ (book empty)
Rank 41 to 50	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Rank 3 to 4	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Rank 31 to 40	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Rank 21 to 30	bid 29¢ / ask 30¢
Rank 1 to 2	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Rank 16 to 20	bid 48¢ / ask 49¢
Rank 11 to 15	bid 10¢ / ask 13¢

Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Pete Davidson	—
Bowen Yang	—
John Mulaney	bid 50¢ / ask 99¢
Tina Fey	—
Will Forte	—

Choosin’ Texas weeks at #1: November — 4 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 4 weeks	bid 23¢ / ask 76¢
At least 3 weeks	bid 20¢ / ask 84¢
At least 2 weeks	bid 21¢ / ask 98¢
At least 1 weeks	bid 38¢ / ask 92¢

#1 searched person on Google in 2026 — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:27 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Lindsay Clancy	bid 15¢ / ask 21¢
Alysa Liu	bid 5¢ / ask 12¢

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: David Gyasi — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET

Critics Choice Awards: Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried (bid 28¢ / ask 36¢) — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:43 AM ET

Critics Choice Awards: Best Picture: You Can See Everything (bid 21¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:43 AM ET

Oscar winner: Best Actress: Zendaya (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:39 AM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 23 events, 203 markets

OpenRouter AI token usage in November — 14 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:50 AM ET

View market strikes (14 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 975T tokens	—
Above 950T tokens	—
Above 925T tokens	—
Above 900T tokens	—
Above 875T tokens	—
Above 850T tokens	—
Above 825T tokens	—
Above 800T tokens	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Above 750T tokens	bid 11¢ / ask 91¢
Above 650T tokens	—
Above 500T tokens	bid 26¢ / ask 91¢
Above 1,250T tokens	—
Above 1,100T tokens	—
Above 1,000T tokens	—

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 26–Nov 1 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 12:38 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 196T tokens	bid 9¢ / ask 34¢
Above 194T tokens	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 192T tokens	bid 13¢ / ask 38¢
Above 190T tokens	bid 12¢ / ask 83¢
Above 189T tokens	bid 16¢ / ask 82¢
Above 188T tokens	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 187T tokens	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 186T tokens	bid 13¢ / ask 93¢
Above 185T tokens	bid 14¢ / ask 90¢
Above 183T tokens	bid 10¢ / ask 88¢
Above 180T tokens	bid 19¢ / ask 94¢

Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Z.ai	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Xiaomi	bid 55¢ / ask 63¢
Tencent	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Moonshot	bid 21¢ / ask 23¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Meituan	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
DeepSeek	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
ByteDance	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Baidu	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Alibaba	bid 8¢ / ask 11¢

OpenAI market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 21.0%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 20.0%	—
Above 19.2%	—
Above 18.9%	—
Above 18.6%	—
Above 18.3%	—
Above 18.0%	—
Above 17.3%	bid 13¢ (no asks)
Above 16.1%	—

Google market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 12:37 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 22.0%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 20.9%	—
Above 20.2%	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Above 19.9%	bid 26¢ / ask 98¢
Above 19.7%	bid 3¢ / ask 50¢
Above 19.4%	bid 16¢ / ask 87¢
Above 19.1%	bid 50¢ / ask 93¢
Above 18.4%	—
Above 17.3%	—

Anthropic market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 12:37 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 6.5%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 6.1%	bid 56¢ / ask 92¢
Above 5.8%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 5.6%	bid 5¢ / ask 59¢
Above 5.5%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 5.4%	bid 43¢ / ask 95¢
Above 5.2%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 4.9%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 4.5%	bid 5¢ (no asks)

DeepSeek market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 12:37 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 28.9%	bid 25¢ / ask 69¢
Above 27.8%	bid 12¢ / ask 67¢
Above 27.0%	bid 19¢ / ask 84¢
Above 26.7%	bid 40¢ / ask 85¢
Above 26.4%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 26.1%	bid 57¢ / ask 88¢
Above 25.8%	bid 16¢ / ask 86¢
Above 25.1%	bid 13¢ / ask 84¢
Above 23.9%	bid 15¢ / ask 87¢

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 30, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 73.8%	bid 4¢ / ask 9¢
Above 71.6%	bid 3¢ / ask 66¢
Above 69.3%	bid 35¢ / ask 66¢
Above 66.7%	bid 30¢ / ask 84¢
Above 62.2%	bid 36¢ / ask 83¢
Above 58.5%	bid 31¢ / ask 93¢
Above 57.8%	bid 37¢ / ask 93¢
Above 56.1%	bid 38¢ / ask 96¢
Above 54.6%	bid 82¢ / ask 96¢

Google share of spend on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Z.AI share of spend on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8.9%	bid 1¢ / ask 68¢
Above 8.1%	bid 1¢ / ask 75¢
Above 7.6%	bid 1¢ / ask 68¢
Above 7.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Above 6.4%	bid 23¢ / ask 79¢
Above 4.9%	bid 32¢ / ask 77¢
Above 4.2%	bid 32¢ / ask 83¢
Above 14.4%	bid 1¢ / ask 66¢
Above 10.2%	bid 1¢ / ask 72¢

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 17.4%	bid 15¢ / ask 65¢
Above 15.9%	bid 32¢ / ask 65¢
Above 15.1%	bid 35¢ / ask 65¢
Above 14.1%	bid 20¢ / ask 69¢
Above 13.6%	bid 25¢ / ask 83¢
Above 12.6%	bid 36¢ / ask 73¢
Above 11.9%	bid 17¢ / ask 84¢
Above 11.7%	bid 24¢ / ask 92¢
Above 11.3%	bid 36¢ / ask 84¢

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 40.9%	bid 14¢ / ask 62¢
Above 40.3%	bid 15¢ / ask 65¢
Above 37.3%	bid 32¢ / ask 63¢
Above 35.9%	bid 35¢ / ask 65¢
Above 34.1%	bid 25¢ / ask 79¢
Above 32.5%	bid 27¢ / ask 79¢
Above 30.8%	bid 25¢ / ask 85¢
Above 29.2%	bid 36¢ / ask 84¢
Above 28.5%	bid 31¢ / ask 99¢

Z.AI share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Google share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 15.7%	bid 1¢ / ask 68¢
Above 14.8%	bid 1¢ / ask 68¢
Above 13.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 68¢
Above 12.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 69¢
Above 12.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 73¢
Above 11.3%	bid 1¢ / ask 73¢
Above 11.1%	bid 8¢ / ask 70¢
Above 10.8%	bid 22¢ / ask 73¢
Above 10.1%	bid 29¢ / ask 75¢

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 24.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 77¢
Above 23.9%	bid 1¢ / ask 74¢
Above 22.8%	bid 1¢ / ask 75¢
Above 22.6%	bid 1¢ / ask 73¢
Above 21.7%	bid 1¢ / ask 74¢
Above 21.2%	bid 20¢ / ask 74¢
Above 19.7%	bid 21¢ / ask 85¢
Above 18.7%	bid 19¢ / ask 99¢
Above 17.7%	bid 21¢ / ask 99¢

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8.6%	bid 7¢ / ask 83¢
Above 8.1%	bid 34¢ / ask 64¢
Above 7.7%	bid 31¢ / ask 68¢
Above 7.6%	bid 35¢ / ask 66¢
Above 7.3%	bid 41¢ / ask 68¢
Above 7.1%	bid 34¢ / ask 82¢
Above 6.9%	bid 35¢ / ask 76¢
Above 6.5%	bid 34¢ / ask 95¢
Above 5.8%	bid 31¢ / ask 92¢

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 15.7%	bid 24¢ / ask 52¢
Above 14.3%	bid 26¢ / ask 68¢
Above 13.8%	bid 35¢ / ask 66¢
Above 13.5%	bid 33¢ / ask 67¢
Above 13.1%	bid 32¢ / ask 68¢
Above 12.7%	bid 36¢ / ask 66¢
Above 12.4%	bid 45¢ / ask 68¢
Above 11.9%	bid 40¢ / ask 70¢
Above 11.3%	bid 45¢ / ask 72¢

Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Best AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Kimi, MUSE, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Most popular AI this week — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Z.ai, Xiaomi, Tencent, OpenAI, Google, DeepSeek, Anthropic

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026? — 6 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:31 AM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 34k	bid 61¢ / ask 70¢
Above 36k	bid 21¢ / ask 30¢
Above 38k	bid 2¢ / ask 11¢
Above 40k	ask 9¢ (no bids)
Above 42k	ask 9¢ (no bids)
Above 44k	ask 9¢ (no bids)

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 26, 2026 (Vercel) — 2 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:18 AM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9%	ask 18¢ (no bids)
Above 9.3%	ask 88¢ (no bids)

💹 Financials — 154 events, 553 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 27, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.49% or above	—
5.47% or above	—
5.45% or above	—
5.43% or above	ask 6¢ (no bids)
5.41% or above	ask 10¢ (no bids)
5.39% or above	ask 15¢ (no bids)
5.37% or above	bid 7¢ / ask 22¢
5.35% or above	bid 14¢ / ask 33¢
5.33% or above	bid 28¢ / ask 46¢
5.31% or above	bid 43¢ / ask 63¢
5.29% or above	bid 57¢ / ask 76¢
5.27% or above	bid 70¢ / ask 84¢
5.25% or above	bid 81¢ / ask 90¢
5.23% or above	bid 85¢ / ask 99¢
5.21% or above	bid 90¢ / ask 99¢

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 27, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.14% or above	last 1¢ (book empty)
5.12% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
5.1% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
5.08% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
5.06% or above	bid 10¢ / ask 12¢
5.04% or above	bid 19¢ / ask 21¢
5.02% or above	bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
5% or above	bid 48¢ / ask 55¢
4.98% or above	bid 63¢ / ask 69¢
4.96% or above	bid 76¢ / ask 81¢
4.94% or above	bid 85¢ / ask 90¢
4.92% or above	bid 93¢ / ask 94¢
4.9% or above	bid 95¢ / ask 97¢
4.88% or above	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
4.86% or above	bid 96¢ (no asks)

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 27, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.04% or above	ask 5¢ (no bids)
5.02% or above	ask 8¢ (no bids)
5% or above	ask 12¢ (no bids)
4.98% or above	bid 3¢ / ask 18¢
4.96% or above	bid 10¢ / ask 27¢
4.94% or above	bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
4.92% or above	bid 32¢ / ask 50¢
4.9% or above	bid 45¢ / ask 65¢
4.88% or above	bid 59¢ / ask 78¢
4.86% or above	bid 72¢ / ask 86¢
4.84% or above	bid 80¢ / ask 92¢
4.82% or above	bid 85¢ / ask 99¢
4.8% or above	bid 90¢ / ask 99¢
4.78% or above	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
4.76% or above	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 27, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
4.94% or above	ask 8¢ (no bids)
4.92% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 14¢
4.9% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 23¢
4.88% or above	bid 14¢ / ask 34¢
4.86% or above	bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
4.84% or above	bid 38¢ / ask 58¢
4.82% or above	bid 50¢ / ask 70¢
4.8% or above	bid 62¢ / ask 82¢
4.78% or above	bid 72¢ / ask 92¢
4.76% or above	bid 79¢ / ask 96¢
4.74% or above	bid 87¢ / ask 99¢
4.72% or above	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
4.7% or above	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
4.68% or above	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
4.66% or above	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 27, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
4.84% or above	ask 6¢ (no bids)
4.82% or above	ask 9¢ (no bids)
4.8% or above	ask 15¢ (no bids)
4.78% or above	bid 9¢ / ask 21¢
4.76% or above	bid 13¢ / ask 28¢
4.74% or above	bid 26¢ / ask 40¢
4.72% or above	bid 50¢ / ask 56¢
4.7% or above	bid 61¢ / ask 72¢
4.68% or above	bid 82¢ / ask 83¢
4.66% or above	bid 75¢ / ask 90¢
4.64% or above	bid 82¢ / ask 96¢
4.62% or above	bid 85¢ / ask 98¢
4.6% or above	bid 87¢ (no asks)
4.58% or above	bid 89¢ (no asks)
4.56% or above	bid 92¢ (no asks)

Lowe's customer transactions in Q3 2026 — 14 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (14 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 188 million	bid 34¢ / ask 78¢
Above 187 million	bid 29¢ / ask 78¢
Above 186 million	bid 23¢ / ask 78¢
Above 185 million	bid 31¢ / ask 87¢
Above 184 million	bid 25¢ / ask 88¢
Above 183 million	bid 37¢ / ask 88¢
Above 182 million	bid 44¢ / ask 89¢
Above 181 million	bid 32¢ / ask 90¢
Above 180 million	bid 51¢ / ask 90¢
Above 179 million	bid 72¢ / ask 91¢
Above 178 million	bid 70¢ / ask 91¢
Above 189 million	—
Above 190 million	—
Above 191 million	—

Zscaler customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027 — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 5:54 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Ulta transactions growth in fiscal 2026 — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 5:48 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

American Airlines passenger load factor in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 3:06 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Affirm gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2027 — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Neptune Insurance policies in force in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 391000	bid 14¢ / ask 29¢
Above 388000	bid 11¢ / ask 44¢
Above 385000	bid 11¢ / ask 45¢
Above 382000	bid 30¢ / ask 49¢
Above 379000	bid 28¢ / ask 52¢
Above 376000	bid 36¢ / ask 49¢
Above 373000	bid 33¢ / ask 59¢
Above 370000	bid 53¢ / ask 71¢
Above 367000	bid 51¢ / ask 83¢
Above 364000	bid 61¢ / ask 88¢
Above 361000	bid 76¢ / ask 89¢

Samsara customers over $100k ARR in Q3 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 3930	bid 14¢ / ask 39¢
Above 3900	bid 13¢ / ask 49¢
Above 3870	bid 26¢ / ask 70¢
Above 3840	bid 27¢ / ask 73¢
Above 3810	bid 28¢ / ask 73¢
Above 3780	bid 37¢ / ask 82¢
Above 3750	bid 64¢ / ask 82¢
Above 3720	bid 61¢ / ask 88¢
Above 3690	bid 69¢ / ask 87¢
Above 3660	bid 86¢ / ask 92¢
Above 3630	bid 86¢ / ask 96¢

UiPath customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 418	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Above 415	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 412	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 409	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 406	—
Above 403	—
Above 400	—
Above 397	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
Above 394	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
Above 391	—
Above 388	—

Starlink subscribers in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 18.3 million	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 18 million	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 17.7 million	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 17.4 million	—
Above 17.1 million	—
Above 16.8 million	—
Above 16.5 million	—
Above 16.2 million	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
Above 15.9 million	bid 20¢ / ask 99¢
Above 15.6 million	bid 20¢ / ask 99¢
Above 15.3 million	bid 13¢ (no asks)

Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 5.1 billion	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Above 4.5 billion	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Above 4.3 billion	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Above 4.1 billion	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 3.9 billion	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 3.7 billion	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 3.5 billion	—
Above 3.3 billion	—
Above 3.1 billion	—
Above 2.9 billion	—
Above 2.3 billion	—

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 58	bid 18¢ / ask 57¢
Above 46	bid 30¢ / ask 63¢
Above 44	bid 31¢ / ask 61¢
Above 42	bid 27¢ / ask 63¢
Above 40	bid 27¢ / ask 61¢
Above 38	bid 31¢ / ask 64¢
Above 36	bid 31¢ / ask 64¢
Above 34	bid 31¢ / ask 73¢
Above 32	bid 27¢ / ask 79¢
Above 30	bid 32¢ / ask 83¢
Above 18	bid 31¢ / ask 90¢

Alaska Air passenger load factor in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 81%	bid 16¢ / ask 66¢
Above 80.5%	bid 26¢ / ask 68¢
Above 80%	bid 31¢ / ask 68¢
Above 79.5%	bid 27¢ / ask 68¢
Above 79%	bid 27¢ / ask 66¢
Above 78.5%	bid 29¢ / ask 78¢
Above 78%	bid 76¢ / ask 77¢
Above 77.5%	bid 84¢ / ask 85¢
Above 77%	bid 89¢ / ask 90¢
Above 76.5%	bid 92¢ / ask 93¢
Above 76%	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢

Air Canada passenger load factor in Q3 2026 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 91.5%	bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
Above 91%	bid 12¢ / ask 39¢
Above 90.5%	bid 20¢ / ask 40¢
Above 90%	bid 20¢ / ask 48¢
Above 89.5%	bid 26¢ / ask 61¢
Above 89%	bid 36¢ / ask 59¢
Above 88.5%	bid 42¢ / ask 65¢
Above 88%	bid 31¢ / ask 75¢
Above 87.5%	bid 40¢ / ask 78¢
Above 87%	bid 36¢ / ask 89¢
Above 86.5%	bid 36¢ / ask 89¢

Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q3 2026 — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Above -26%	bid 50¢ / ask 99¢
Above -25%	bid 51¢ / ask 99¢
Above -24%	bid 53¢ / ask 99¢
Above -23%	bid 55¢ / ask 99¢
Above -22%	bid 57¢ / ask 99¢
Above -21%	bid 39¢ / ask 99¢
Above -20%	bid 46¢ / ask 99¢
Above -19%	bid 43¢ / ask 99¢
Above -18%	bid 30¢ / ask 99¢
Above -17%	bid 19¢ / ask 97¢
Above -16%	bid 13¢ / ask 80¢

Loblaw food same-store sales growth in Q3 2026 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 5.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 71¢
Above 5%	bid 1¢ / ask 69¢
Above 4.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 73¢
Above 4%	bid 1¢ / ask 73¢
Above 3.5%	bid 2¢ / ask 73¢
Above 3%	bid 6¢ / ask 70¢
Above 2.5%	bid 13¢ / ask 68¢
Above 2%	bid 23¢ / ask 69¢
Above 1.5%	bid 27¢ / ask 75¢
Above 1%	bid 27¢ / ask 87¢
Above 0.5%	bid 27¢ / ask 69¢

Meta ad impressions growth in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8%	bid 37¢ / ask 99¢
Above 6%	bid 35¢ / ask 99¢
Above 4%	bid 27¢ / ask 99¢
Above 20%	bid 33¢ / ask 64¢
Above 2%	bid 34¢ / ask 99¢
Above 18%	bid 37¢ / ask 74¢
Above 16%	bid 27¢ / ask 80¢
Above 14%	bid 29¢ / ask 80¢
Above 12%	bid 36¢ / ask 80¢
Above 10%	bid 31¢ / ask 99¢
Above 0%	bid 37¢ / ask 99¢

Meta headcount in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 69000	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 67000	—
Above 66500	—
Above 66000	—
Above 65500	—
Above 65000	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
Above 64500	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
Above 64000	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
Above 63500	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
Above 63000	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
Above 61000	bid 13¢ (no asks)

Meta family daily active people in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 3.78 billion	bid 27¢ / ask 64¢
Above 3.76 billion	bid 25¢ / ask 67¢
Above 3.74 billion	bid 25¢ / ask 68¢
Above 3.72 billion	bid 32¢ / ask 68¢
Above 3.7 billion	bid 31¢ / ask 68¢
Above 3.68 billion	bid 26¢ / ask 76¢
Above 3.66 billion	bid 31¢ / ask 70¢
Above 3.64 billion	bid 31¢ / ask 79¢
Above 3.62 billion	bid 30¢ / ask 80¢
Above 3.6 billion	bid 31¢ / ask 79¢
Above 3.58 billion	bid 31¢ / ask 77¢

Toll Brothers delivered homes in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 2175	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Above 2125	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Above 2075	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 2025	—
Above 1975	—
Above 1925	—
Above 1875	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1825	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1775	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1725	bid 13¢ (no asks)
Above 1675	bid 13¢ (no asks)

Target transactions change in Q3 2026 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9%	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 6.5%	bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Above 6%	bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Above 5.5%	bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Above 5%	bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Above 4.5%	bid 23¢ / ask 24¢
Above 4%	bid 34¢ / ask 35¢
Above 3.5%	bid 45¢ / ask 46¢
Above 3%	bid 56¢ / ask 57¢
Above 2.5%	bid 67¢ / ask 68¢
Above 0%	bid 93¢ / ask 94¢

MercadoLibre items sold in Q3 2026 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 900 million	bid 18¢ / ask 34¢
Above 880 million	bid 33¢ / ask 45¢
Above 860 million	bid 39¢ / ask 59¢
Above 840 million	bid 60¢ / ask 81¢
Above 820 million	bid 58¢ / ask 86¢
Above 800 million	bid 86¢ / ask 98¢
Above 780 million	bid 80¢ / ask 93¢
Above 760 million	bid 69¢ / ask 99¢
Above 740 million	bid 78¢ / ask 98¢
Above 720 million	bid 89¢ / ask 98¢
Above 700 million	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢

Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 898000	bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
Above 896000	bid 31¢ / ask 52¢
Above 894000	bid 37¢ / ask 47¢
Above 892000	bid 31¢ / ask 60¢
Above 890000	bid 35¢ / ask 75¢
Above 888000	bid 31¢ / ask 91¢
Above 886000	bid 41¢ / ask 92¢
Above 884000	bid 46¢ / ask 88¢
Above 882000	bid 44¢ / ask 90¢
Above 880000	bid 52¢ / ask 87¢
Above 878000	bid 58¢ / ask 93¢

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $262.5	bid 8¢ / ask 34¢
Above $257.5	bid 23¢ / ask 47¢
Above $252.5	bid 36¢ / ask 61¢
Above $247.5	bid 18¢ / ask 68¢
Above $242.5	bid 25¢ / ask 78¢
Above $237.5	bid 71¢ / ask 91¢
Above $232.5	bid 67¢ / ask 88¢
Above $227.5	bid 84¢ / ask 98¢
Above $222.5	bid 95¢ / ask 98¢
Above $217.5	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above $212.5	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 55.5 million	bid 21¢ / ask 66¢
Above 55 million	bid 32¢ / ask 66¢
Above 54.5 million	bid 45¢ / ask 68¢
Above 54 million	bid 60¢ / ask 67¢
Above 53.5 million	bid 74¢ / ask 79¢
Above 53 million	bid 78¢ / ask 81¢
Above 52.5 million	bid 73¢ / ask 89¢
Above 52 million	bid 83¢ / ask 91¢
Above 51.5 million	bid 86¢ / ask 94¢
Above 51 million	bid 87¢ / ask 94¢
Above 50.5 million	bid 90¢ / ask 94¢

United Airlines passengers in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 46.5 million	bid 13¢ / ask 77¢
Above 46 million	bid 17¢ / ask 80¢
Above 45.5 million	bid 16¢ / ask 83¢
Above 45 million	bid 16¢ / ask 80¢
Above 44.5 million	bid 20¢ / ask 88¢
Above 44 million	bid 36¢ / ask 90¢
Above 43.5 million	bid 40¢ / ask 91¢
Above 43 million	bid 43¢ / ask 93¢
Above 42.5 million	bid 35¢ / ask 92¢
Above 42 million	bid 79¢ / ask 95¢
Above 41.5 million	bid 93¢ / ask 94¢

Spotify premium subscribers in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 324 million	bid 33¢ / ask 60¢
Above 323 million	bid 31¢ / ask 59¢
Above 322 million	bid 30¢ / ask 57¢
Above 321 million	bid 31¢ / ask 59¢
Above 320 million	bid 31¢ / ask 67¢
Above 319 million	bid 37¢ / ask 74¢
Above 318 million	bid 30¢ / ask 79¢
Above 317 million	bid 36¢ / ask 82¢
Above 316 million	bid 34¢ / ask 85¢
Above 315 million	bid 50¢ / ask 81¢
Above 314 million	bid 30¢ / ask 84¢

Spotify monthly active users in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 838 million	bid 13¢ / ask 54¢
Above 836 million	bid 16¢ / ask 51¢
Above 834 million	bid 23¢ / ask 54¢
Above 832 million	bid 30¢ / ask 51¢
Above 830 million	bid 36¢ / ask 64¢
Above 828 million	bid 36¢ / ask 64¢
Above 826 million	bid 36¢ / ask 64¢
Above 824 million	bid 35¢ / ask 65¢
Above 822 million	bid 36¢ / ask 69¢
Above 820 million	bid 35¢ / ask 77¢
Above 818 million	bid 30¢ / ask 84¢

American Express cards-in-force in Q1 2027 — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 3:06 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:21 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.29% or above	bid 49¢ / ask 67¢
5.27% or above	bid 56¢ / ask 75¢
5.25% or above	bid 63¢ / ask 82¢
5.23% or above	bid 70¢ / ask 87¢
5.21% or above	bid 75¢ / ask 92¢
5.19% or above	bid 79¢ / ask 94¢
5.17% or above	bid 83¢ / ask 96¢
5.15% or above	bid 85¢ / ask 98¢
5.13% or above	bid 88¢ / ask 99¢
5.11% or above	bid 90¢ / ask 99¢

Verizon postpaid phone net additions in Q1 2027 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 5:49 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Dollarama comparable store sales growth in Q3 2027 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8%	bid 10¢ / ask 60¢
Above 6%	bid 20¢ / ask 57¢
Above 5.5%	bid 31¢ / ask 59¢
Above 5%	bid 27¢ / ask 64¢
Above 4.5%	bid 29¢ / ask 65¢
Above 4%	bid 31¢ / ask 73¢
Above 3.5%	bid 30¢ / ask 80¢
Above 3%	bid 31¢ / ask 89¢
Above 1%	bid 30¢ / ask 99¢

Urban Outfitters total stores in Q3 2027 — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 5:45 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Klarna Credit Card Spend in October 2026 — 6 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 240	ask 87¢ (no bids)
Above 250	ask 30¢ (no bids)
Above 260	last 95¢ (book empty)
Above 270	ask 30¢ (no bids)
Above 280	ask 28¢ (no bids)
Above 290	last 11¢ (book empty)

Will DoorDash acquire Instacart? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 5:35 PM ET

Tracking: Before Nov 16, 2026, Before Nov 2, 2026, Before Mar 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Dec 1, 2026

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Fear & Greed Index on Nov 20, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 10:01 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Extreme Greed	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Extreme Fear	bid 11¢ / ask 68¢
Neutral	bid 9¢ / ask 70¢
Greed	bid 9¢ / ask 66¢
Fear	bid 16¢ / ask 75¢

Abercrombie & Fitch Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 113	bid 4¢ / ask 9¢
Above 118	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 123	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢

Instacart App Downloads in October — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 26, 2026 at 6:26 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Zyn Point of Sale Growth in October: Above 110 (bid 21¢ / ask 44¢) — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 5:17 PM ET

Which companies will be acquired this year?: Instacart (Maplebear) — listed Oct 26, 2026 at 4:31 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 25, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.40188 (bid 49¢ / ask 51¢) — listed Oct 25, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 25, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 0.70158 (bid 37¢ / ask 38¢) — listed Oct 25, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 25, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 25, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 157.548 (bid 53¢ / ask 55¢) — listed Oct 25, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 25, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.11734 (bid 45¢ / ask 46¢) — listed Oct 25, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 25, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.33414 (bid 39¢ / ask 40¢) — listed Oct 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

6,178 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	4,625	31	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, US 30Y Treasury yield hourly, +28 more
📊 Economics	1,092	63	Delaware gas price, Michigan gas price, Wisconsin gas price, +60 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	409	56	Where will it rain daily, Where will it rain this weekend?, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, +53 more
🏛️ Politics	22	4	Trump approval rating, Number of Trump Truth Social posts today?, Will Trump golf?, +1 more
🎬 Entertainment	21	2	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, WHICH SONG WILL BE NUMBER THIS MONTH
🔬 Science and Technology	9	1	Open-weight AI market share (OpenRouter)

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Alaska Air Load Factor, Target Transactions, SW Air Fare — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:24 PM ET, Oct 26)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🏢 Companies — 3 events, 29 markets

🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 7 markets

🏛️ Politics — 6 events, 12 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 17 events, 137 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 23 events, 203 markets

💹 Financials — 154 events, 553 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

Prediction News Network