📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 23 at 6:30 PM ET through Jun 24 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 211 unique markets across 27 new events, plus 5,810 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Spotify headcount in Q2: Above 7325 bid 40¢ / ask 41¢, Above 7275 bid 67¢ / ask 68¢, Above 7250 bid 71¢ / ask 72¢
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?: Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Before Oct 1, 2026 bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, Before Nov 1, 2026 bid 19¢ / ask 20¢
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?: Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 17¢ / ask 18¢, Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, Before Oct 1, 2026 bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Where will the minimum temperature be below 50 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?: San Francisco bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, San Antonio bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Phoenix bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Where will the maximum temperature be above 75 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?: San Francisco bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Seattle bid 14¢ / ask 15¢, San Antonio bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
US new home sales for June: Above 640,000 bid 37¢ / ask 38¢, Above 520,000 bid 92¢ / ask 98¢, Above 540,000 bid 89¢ / ask 98¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
- Where will the maximum temperature be above 75 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
- Where will the minimum temperature be below 50 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/22 - 6/28)
- When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
- When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
- Will Congress override Trump's veto?
- Will the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act become law?
- Artist(s) with a #1 Song on Spotify Global: July
- Love Island USA S8: Thursday elimination
- Reported GTA VI Preorders: Before July 4, 2026
- Rick Ross SET IN STONE: Features
- Who will have a #1 song on Spotify Global in June?
- Will Ariana Madix Host Love Island USA Season 9?
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 4 markets
Number of US data centers at the end of 2026? — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 24, 2026 at 5:24 PM ET
🏢 Companies — 1 event, 8 markets
Spotify headcount in 2026 — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 24, 2026 at 2:28 PM ET
📊 Economics — 1 event, 8 markets
US new home sales for June — 8 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 12:29 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 660,000 | bid 27¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above 640,000 | bid 37¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above 620,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 600,000 | bid 60¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 580,000 | bid 74¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 560,000 | bid 87¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 540,000 | bid 89¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 520,000 | bid 92¢ / ask 98¢ |
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 3 events, 45 markets
Where will the minimum temperature be below 50 degrees on Jul 4, 2026? — 20 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| San Francisco | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Seattle | bid 11¢ / ask 14¢ |
| San Antonio | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Phoenix | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Philadelphia | bid 4¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Oklahoma City | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| New York City | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| New Orleans | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Minneapolis | bid 5¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Miami | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Las Vegas | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Los Angeles | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Houston | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Denver | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Washington DC | bid 4¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Dallas | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Chicago | bid 4¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Boston | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Austin | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Atlanta | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Where will the maximum temperature be above 75 degrees on Jul 4, 2026? — 20 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| San Francisco | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Seattle | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| San Antonio | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Phoenix | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Philadelphia | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Oklahoma City | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| New York City | bid 86¢ / ask 93¢ |
| New Orleans | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Minneapolis | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Miami | bid 91¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Las Vegas | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Los Angeles | bid 50¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Houston | bid 86¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Denver | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Washington DC | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Dallas | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Chicago | bid 50¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Boston | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Austin | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Atlanta | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 24, 2026 at 5:53 PM ET
Tracking: At least 3.0°C, Below 1.5°C, 2.5°C to 2.9°C, 2.0°C to 2.4°C, 1.5°C to 1.9°C
🏛️ Politics — 5 events, 17 markets
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 2:22 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 20¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 16¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 13¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 15¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
Will the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act become law? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 12:41 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 7, 2026 | bid 74¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Before Jul 16, 2026 | bid 87¢ / ask 90¢ |
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/22 - 6/28) — 2 brackets — listed Jun 23, 2026 at 9:56 PM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 175 | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 12¢ / ask 14¢ |
Will Congress override Trump's veto?: Before Aug 1, 2026 (bid 6¢ / ask 9¢) — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 12:43 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 48 markets
Love Island USA S8: Thursday elimination — 25 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 24, 2026 at 10:18 AM ET
Tracking: Zach, Trinity, Tierra, Sydney, Sincere, Ronnie, Parmida, NONE, Melanie, Kenzie, KC, Kayda, Jen, Jaiden, Gal, Dylan, Corey, Corbin, Chay, Carl, Caleb, Bryce, Aniya, Amora, Alannah
Rick Ross SET IN STONE: Features — 12 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Nas | bid 30¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Meek Mill | bid 50¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Lil Wayne | bid 30¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Kendrick Lamar | bid 40¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Kanye West | bid 40¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Jeezy | bid 36¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Jay-Z | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Future | bid 30¢ / ask 95¢ |
| French Montana | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Drake | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
| DJ Khaled | bid 21¢ / ask 86¢ |
| 21 Savage | bid 17¢ / ask 96¢ |
Reported GTA VI Preorders: Before July 4, 2026 — 8 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 12:16 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| GTA 6 has surpassed 7.5 million preorders | bid 75¢ / ask 78¢ |
| GTA 6 has surpassed 5 million preorders | bid 72¢ / ask 76¢ |
| GTA 6 has surpassed 25 million preorders | bid 35¢ / ask 64¢ |
| GTA 6 has surpassed 20 million preorders | bid 19¢ / ask 71¢ |
| GTA 6 has surpassed 17.5 million preorders | bid 24¢ / ask 27¢ |
| GTA 6 has surpassed 15 million preorders | bid 61¢ / ask 67¢ |
| GTA 6 has surpassed 12.5 million preorders | bid 55¢ / ask 58¢ |
| GTA 6 has surpassed 10 million preorders | bid 58¢ / ask 72¢ |
Will Ariana Madix Host Love Island USA Season 9?: Ariana Madix as the official host? (bid 77¢ / ask 78¢) — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET
Artist(s) with a #1 Song on Spotify Global: July: Burna Boy — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 2:18 PM ET
Who will have a #1 song on Spotify Global in June?: Burna Boy (ask 19¢ (no bids)) — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 2:17 PM ET
💹 Financials — 10 events, 81 markets
Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final — 21 outcomes — listed Jun 23, 2026 at 7:53 PM ET
View market options (21 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Walmart | bid 82¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Temu | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Skims | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Samsung | bid 86¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Pepsi | bid 68¢ / ask 69¢ |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | bid 80¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Nike | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Netflix | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Modelo | bid 77¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Lego | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Jeep | bid 72¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Gemini | bid 67¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Geico | bid 79¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Gatorade | bid 12¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Ford | bid 59¢ / ask 61¢ |
| DoorDash | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Disney | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Coinbase | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Apple | bid 56¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Anthropic / Claude | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Amazon | bid 72¢ / ask 73¢ |
Spotify headcount in Q2 — 9 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7350 | bid 15¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 7325 | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 7300 | bid 44¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 7275 | bid 67¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 7250 | bid 71¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 7225 | bid 90¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 7200 | bid 88¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 7175 | bid 88¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 7150 | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
Intel headcount in Q2 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 24, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET
Oracle headcount in fiscal 2027 — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 24, 2026 at 1:38 PM ET
Petrobras total production (Mboed) in Q2 — 8 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 12:41 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 3250 | bid 56¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 3200 | bid 64¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 3150 | bid 73¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 3100 | bid 83¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 3050 | bid 86¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 3000 | bid 88¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 2950 | bid 90¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 2900 | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
Netflix headcount in 2026 — 8 brackets — listed Jun 23, 2026 at 9:21 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 20000 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 19500 | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 19000 | bid 18¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 18500 | bid 34¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 18000 | bid 48¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above 17500 | bid 56¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above 17000 | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 16500 | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
Intel headcount in 2026 — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 24, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET
Tesla production in Q2 — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 24, 2026 at 5:15 PM ET
Tesla deliveries in Q2 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 24, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Google headcount in Q2 — 3 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 1:55 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 195750 | bid 71¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 196250 | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 196750 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,810 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,051 | 8 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +5 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 419 | 11 | What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +8 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 292 | 43 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +40 more |
| 📊 Economics | 48 | 6 | US gas price up, US gas price, Price of a Chipotle chicken burrito this month, +3 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.