📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 12 at 6:30 PM ET through Jun 13 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 20 unique markets across 3 new events, plus 540 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Best AI this week: ChatGPT bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Gemini bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Claude bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers?: Before Jun 20, 2026 bid 33¢ / ask 34¢, Before Jun 15, 2026 bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Before Jul 1, 2026 bid 44¢ / ask 47¢
Top Coding AI this week: Qwen, Kimi, Grok all at bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 3 markets
When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers? — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 13, 2026 at 8:35 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jun 20, 2026 | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Before Jun 15, 2026 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | bid 44¢ / ask 47¢ |
🔬 Science and Technology — 2 events, 17 markets
Top Coding AI this week — 9 outcomes — listed Jun 13, 2026 at 11:32 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Qwen | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Kimi | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Grok | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| GLM | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Gemini | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Dola | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Claude | bid 86¢ / ask 92¢ |
| ChatGPT | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
Best AI this week — 8 outcomes — listed Jun 13, 2026 at 11:25 AM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Grok | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| ChatGPT | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Muse | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Gemini | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Dola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Claude | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Amazon Nova | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Qwen | last 1¢ (book empty) |
🔄 Recurring Markets
540 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 💹 Financials | 140 | 5 | B200 Weekly, Weekly H200, RTX 5090 Weekly, +2 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 74 | 7 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +4 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 20 | 1 | Top model |
| 📊 Economics | 17 | 1 | US gas price up |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.