📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 19 at 8:30 AM ET through Jun 20 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 34 unique markets across 11 new events, plus 480 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Andy Burnham appointed as Prime Minister?: Before August 1, 2026 bid 60¢ / ask 61¢, Before July 11, 2026 bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, Before September 1, 2026 bid 87¢ / ask 89¢
Bank of Russia rate decision in July: Hike more than 50bps bid 18¢ / ask 19¢, Hike 50bps bid 33¢ / ask 34¢, Hike 25bps bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (6/19-6/26)?: Above 5.2% — bid 54¢ / ask 55¢
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (6/19-6/26)?: Above 40.0% — bid 38¢ / ask 39¢
Keir Starmer departure announced?: Before Jun 27, 2026 bid 24¢ / ask 35¢, Before Jun 22, 2026 bid 8¢ / ask 32¢
Early elections in the UK announced?: Before Sep 1, 2026 — ask 8¢ (no bids)
Summer House S11: Cast: Meija Moreno — last 3¢ (book empty)
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Andy Burnham appointed as Prime Minister?
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (6/22-6/28)
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (6/21-6/27)
- Keir Starmer departure announced?
- Trump late night post this week? (6/21-6/27)
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (6/21 - 6/27)
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (6/19-6/26)?
All New Events
🎬 Entertainment — 1 event, 1 market
Summer House S11: Cast: Meija Moreno (last 3¢ (book empty)) — listed Jun 19, 2026 at 12:44 PM ET
📊 Economics — 1 event, 7 markets
Bank of Russia rate decision in July — 7 outcomes — listed Jun 19, 2026 at 1:14 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 36¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Hike more than 50bps | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Hike 50bps | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Hike 25bps | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Cut more than 50bps | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Cut 50bps | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Cut 25bps | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 2 markets
Early elections in the UK announced?: Before Sep 1, 2026 (ask 8¢ (no bids)) — listed Jun 19, 2026 at 2:53 PM ET
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (6/19-6/26)?: Above 5.2% (bid 54¢ / ask 55¢) — listed Jun 19, 2026 at 10:19 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 7 events, 24 markets
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (6/21-6/27) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 19, 2026 at 3:09 PM ET
Trump late night post this week? (6/21-6/27) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 19, 2026 at 3:10 PM ET
Tracking: 5-6 AM, 4-5 AM, 3-4 AM, 2-3 AM, 1-2 AM
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (6/22-6/28) — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 19, 2026 at 3:09 PM ET
Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4
Andy Burnham appointed as Prime Minister? — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 19, 2026 at 2:50 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before September 1, 2026 | bid 87¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Before August 1, 2026 | bid 60¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Before July 18, 2026 | bid 46¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Before July 11, 2026 | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
Keir Starmer departure announced? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 19, 2026 at 2:29 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jun 22, 2026 | bid 8¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Before Jun 27, 2026 | bid 24¢ / ask 35¢ |
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (6/21 - 6/27): Above 0 — listed Jun 19, 2026 at 3:08 PM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (6/19-6/26)?: Above 40.0% (bid 38¢ / ask 39¢) — listed Jun 19, 2026 at 10:19 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
480 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 120 | 10 | Weekly US Spotify chart, Weekly US Spotify album chart, Weekly US Spotify artist chart, +7 more |
| 📊 Economics | 38 | 3 | Elon Musk net worth on [date], US gas price up, UK retail sales MoM |
| 🏛️ Politics | 28 | 4 | Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, Will Trump do anything today?, President RCP approval rating this week, +1 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 5 | 5 | RTX 5090 Weekly Price, B200 Weekly Price, A100 Weekly Price, +2 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.