📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 26 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 27 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 186 unique markets across 22 new events, plus 873 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Colombia rate decision in October: Cut more than 25bps bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Cut 1-25bps bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Hike 1-25bps bid 10¢ / ask 69¢
Open Source market share on Sep 28th: Above 67.5% bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Above 87.5% bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Above 82.5% bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 28, 2026?: Below 38.4% bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, 39.0% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, 38.9% bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $6.480 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $6.475 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above $6.440 bid 83¢ / ask 93¢
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 28, 2026: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Ramayana: Jai Jai Rama:Telugu | Namit M, Nitesh T| Ranbir, Yash, Sai |AR Rahman, Deepali S, Raghav K bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Red Bull Point of Sale Growth in September: Above 118 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 115 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 112 bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Open Source market share on Sep 30th: Above 90% bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Above 87% bid 1¢ / ask 7¢, Above 84% bid 2¢ / ask 20¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 28, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 28, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 28, 2026
- Generic congressional ballot on Sep 28, 2026?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 28, 2026?
- When will Ottawa's Trump Avenue be renamed?
- Paramount+ App Downloads in September
- Petrobras total production (Mboed) in fiscal 2026
- Red Bull Point of Sale Growth in September
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Talen Energy TWh generation in Q3
- Anthropic share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel)
- Anthropic share of spend on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel)
- DeepSeek share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel)
- Google share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel)
- Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel)
- Open Source market share on Sep 28th
- Open Source market share on Sep 30th
- OpenAI share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel)
- OpenAI share of spend on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel)
All New Events
📊 Economics — 2 events, 26 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.520 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.515 | ask 25¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.510 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.505 | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.500 | ask 25¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.495 | ask 25¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.490 | ask 25¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.485 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.480 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $6.475 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $6.470 | bid 4¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above $6.465 | bid 5¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above $6.460 | bid 13¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above $6.455 | bid 28¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above $6.450 | bid 64¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above $6.445 | bid 74¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above $6.440 | bid 83¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above $6.435 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.430 | bid 80¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.425 | bid 80¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.420 | bid 83¢ (no asks) |
Colombia rate decision in October — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 20¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | bid 7¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | bid 10¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 19 markets
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 28, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 38.4% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 39.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 38.9% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 38.8% | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 38.7% | bid 44¢ / ask 46¢ |
| 38.6% | bid 24¢ / ask 26¢ |
| 38.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 38.4% | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 39.0% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 28, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 7.9% | bid 3¢ / ask 60¢ |
| 8.5% | bid 4¢ / ask 46¢ |
| 8.4% | bid 3¢ / ask 40¢ |
| 8.3% | bid 3¢ / ask 37¢ |
| 8.2% | bid 56¢ / ask 81¢ |
| 8.1% | bid 3¢ / ask 34¢ |
| 8.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 38¢ |
| 7.9% | bid 3¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 8.5% | bid 3¢ / ask 39¢ |
When will Ottawa's Trump Avenue be renamed?: Before Sep 1, 2027 — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 1:04 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 28, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Shararat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Ramayana: Jai Jai Rama:Telugu | Namit M, Nitesh T| Ranbir, Yash, Sai |AR Rahman, Deepali S, Raghav K | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Parvati | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Natanael Cano x Tito Double P x Victor Mendivil x Ovi - OLIVIA LA FLAKA [Oficial Video] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Endhayya Saami | Ranabaali | Full Song | Vijay Deverakonda, Rashmika | Rahul Sankrityan | Ajay–Atul | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 22¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi | Full Video | bid 10¢ / ask 14¢ |
| BbY WOW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Ashke (Music Video) Karan Aujla | Mxrci | Aujla Szn 1 | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Afsaana Banaaya Aapne (From "Gunmaaster G9”) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 28, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Ramayana: Jai Jai Rama:Telugu | Namit M, Nitesh T| Ranbir, Yash, Sai |AR Rahman, Deepali S, Raghav K | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Natanael Cano x Tito Double P x Victor Mendivil x Ovi - OLIVIA LA FLAKA [Oficial Video] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Endhayya Saami | Ranabaali | Full Song | Vijay Deverakonda, Rashmika | Rahul Sankrityan | Ajay–Atul | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 36¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi | Full Video | ask 15¢ (no bids) |
| BbY WOW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Ashke (Music Video) Karan Aujla | Mxrci | Aujla Szn 1 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Afsaana Banaaya Aapne (From "Gunmaaster G9”) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 28, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Why I Get Married? | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| The Fate of Ophelia | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Sunflower | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Robbery 10 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Natanael Cano x Tito Double P x Victor Mendivil x Ovi - OLIVIA LA FLAKA [Oficial Video] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Kirk Franklin (ft. GloRilla) - This Time | From The Block Performance 🎙 | bid 19¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Janice STFU | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| HOTEL LOBBY (Unc & Phew) (- A COLORS SHOW) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| DRAKE - QUEBEC | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Dai Dai | bid 17¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 10¢ / ask 30¢ |
| BTS (방탄소년단) ‘Merry Go Round’ Official MV | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| AH HA | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| 9 To 5 (Official Video) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
💹 Financials — 5 events, 15 markets
Petrobras total production (Mboed) in fiscal 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3 — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 27, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET
Tracking: Above -7%, Above -8%, Above -9%
Red Bull Point of Sale Growth in September — 3 brackets — listed Sep 26, 2026 at 10:01 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 112 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 115 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 118 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Talen Energy TWh generation in Q3 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 26, 2026 at 10:01 PM ET
Paramount+ App Downloads in September — 3 brackets — listed Sep 26, 2026 at 10:01 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 103 | bid 20¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Above 106 | bid 13¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Above 109 | bid 8¢ / ask 28¢ |
🔬 Science and Technology — 9 events, 81 markets
Open Source market share on Sep 30th — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 90% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 87% | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 84% | bid 2¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 81% | bid 13¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 78% | bid 26¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 75% | bid 27¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 72% | bid 70¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 69% | bid 62¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 66% | bid 69¢ / ask 97¢ |
Open Source market share on Sep 28th — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 87.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 85% | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 82.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 80% | bid 17¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above 77.5% | bid 17¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 75% | bid 33¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 72.5% | bid 46¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 70% | bid 62¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 67.5% | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8% | bid 51¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 6% | bid 62¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 21% | bid 3¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 18% | bid 6¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 16% | bid 16¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above 15% | bid 21¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 13% | bid 27¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 12% | bid 36¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 10% | bid 45¢ / ask 84¢ |
OpenAI share of spend on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 29% | bid 1¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 27% | bid 2¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above 26% | bid 5¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 24.5% | bid 16¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 23.5% | bid 26¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above 22.5% | bid 41¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 21.5% | bid 11¢ (no asks) |
| Above 20% | bid 59¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 18% | bid 64¢ / ask 97¢ |
Anthropic share of spend on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 42% | bid 2¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 40% | bid 5¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 38% | bid 22¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above 37% | bid 31¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 35% | bid 37¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 34% | bid 54¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 32% | bid 62¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 31% | bid 61¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 28% | bid 61¢ / ask 98¢ |
Google share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8% | bid 67¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 17% | bid 4¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 16% | bid 5¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 15% | bid 8¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above 14% | bid 9¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 13% | bid 24¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 12% | bid 51¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 11% | bid 58¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 10% | bid 93¢ / ask 97¢ |
OpenAI share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 25% | bid 2¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 23% | bid 4¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above 21% | bid 6¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 20% | bid 16¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 19% | bid 26¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 18% | bid 26¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 16% | bid 43¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 15% | bid 84¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 13% | bid 87¢ / ask 98¢ |
Anthropic share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9.5% | bid 3¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 8% | bid 4¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 7% | bid 5¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 6% | bid 5¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 5% | bid 19¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 4.5% | bid 31¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 3.5% | bid 45¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 2.5% | bid 11¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1.5% | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
DeepSeek share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 27% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 25% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 24% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 22% | bid 8¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 21% | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 20% | bid 16¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 19% | bid 35¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 18% | bid 56¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 16% | bid 48¢ / ask 96¢ |
🔄 Recurring Markets
873 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 📊 Economics | 459 | 27 | Nevada gas price, Wisconsin gas price, Indiana gas price, +24 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 369 | 55 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +52 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 45 | 6 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1, +3 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.