📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 11 at 8:30 AM ET through Sep 12 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 294 unique markets across 42 new events, plus 1,034 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?: Exactly 3.6% bid 19¢ / ask 20¢, Exactly 3.8% bid 2¢ / ask 5¢, Exactly 3.7% bid 5¢ / ask 10¢
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20): Above 275 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 250 bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Above 225 bid 23¢ / ask 24¢
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 18, 2026?: Sherrod Brown, Mary Peltola, Angie Nixon all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20): Above 30 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 25 bid 5¢ / ask 8¢, Above 20 bid 6¢ / ask 9¢
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20): Above 300 bid 39¢ / ask 40¢, Above 290 bid 54¢ / ask 55¢, Above 260 bid 84¢ / ask 86¢
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20): Above 35 bid 29¢ / ask 30¢, Above 25 bid 73¢ / ask 74¢, Above 15 bid 96¢ / ask 97¢
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/11-9/18)?: Above 5.8% — bid 91¢ / ask 92¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Bank of Russia rate decision in October
- CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- Diesel prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Big Brother Season 28 · Week 10 elimination
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 13, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 13, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 13, 2026
- Berlin state election: AfD vote share?
- Berlin state election: BSW vote share?
- Berlin state election: CDU vote share?
- Berlin state election: Die Linke vote share?
- Berlin state election: Grüne vote share?
- Berlin state election: SPD vote share?
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/11-9/18)?
- Open Source market share on Sep 12th
- Open Source market share on Sep 16th
- Tencent market share this week
- Top Open Source AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Video AI this week
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/14-9/20)
- How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (9/13-9/19)
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/12-9/18)
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 12, 2026?
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 18, 2026?
- Will data center power-cost standards become law?
- Will Iceland ban commercial whaling?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/13 - 9/19)
- Will the House pass data center power-cost standards?
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/11-9/18)
All New Events
💹 Financials — 2 events, 15 markets
Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 4:24 PM ET
When will the S&P 500 Index be above $7,750? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET
Tracking: Before Mar 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Feb 1, 2027, Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Nov 1, 2026, Before Dec 1, 2026
📊 Economics — 5 events, 43 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
Diesel prices this week — 10 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.32 | — |
| Above $6.34 | last 46¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.36 | last 55¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.38 | — |
| Above $6.40 | — |
| Above $6.42 | — |
| Above $6.44 | — |
| Above $6.46 | — |
| Above $6.48 | — |
| Above $6.50 | ask 20¢ (no bids) |
Bank of Russia rate decision in October — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:27 PM ET
Tracking: Maintain current rate, Hike more than 25bps, Hike 1-25bps, Cut more than 25bps, Cut 1-25bps
CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? — 4 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Exactly 3.6% | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Exactly 3.7% | bid 5¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Exactly 3.8% | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Exactly 3.9% | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026? — 3 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0.7% | bid 2¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Exactly 0.8% | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 0.9% | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 5 events, 53 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 13, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), 소연 (SOYEON) '퇴사할게여 (Narr. 기안84)' Official Music Video, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, Magale - Music Video | Baththa | Vijay Sethupathi | @SaiAbhyankkar | Balaji Tharaneetharan, KALYANI (Remix), IU 'Dear my crazy soulmate' MV, Golden, Dil | Coke Studio Nu.WAV | Afusic x Zoha Waseem x Ali Soomro, Dai Dai, Chhathi Maiya - The VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Vishal Mishra | Kaushal K | Chinni P, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 13, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), 소연 (SOYEON) '퇴사할게여 (Narr. 기안84)' Official Music Video, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, Magale - Music Video | Baththa | Vijay Sethupathi | @SaiAbhyankkar | Balaji Tharaneetharan, KALYANI (Remix), IU 'Dear my crazy soulmate' MV, Golden, Dil | Coke Studio Nu.WAV | Afusic x Zoha Waseem x Ali Soomro, Dai Dai, Chhathi Maiya - The VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Vishal Mishra | Kaushal K | Chinni P, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 13, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), LE SSERAFIM (르세라핌) 'Made My Night' OFFICIAL MV with OVERWATCH, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, Janice STFU, Golden, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, crank 2 (Official Video), Choosin' Texas, BbY WOW, AH HA
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 10 elimination — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yash Patel | bid 21¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Taylor Brown | bid 23¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Rick Devens | bid 18¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Melody Morris | bid 28¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Drew Campbell | bid 46¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Dee Valladares | bid 11¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | bid 44¢ / ask 47¢ |
Oscar Winner: Best Picture: Primetime (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 7 events, 37 markets
Berlin state election: Die Linke vote share? — 6 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 26% | bid 13¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least 24% | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least 22% | bid 50¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least 20% | bid 72¢ / ask 82¢ |
| At least 18% | bid 83¢ / ask 93¢ |
| At least 16% | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
Berlin state election: CDU vote share? — 6 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 25% | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| At least 23% | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| At least 21% | bid 20¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least 19% | bid 47¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least 17% | bid 73¢ / ask 83¢ |
| At least 15% | bid 83¢ / ask 93¢ |
Berlin state election: SPD vote share? — 6 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9% | bid 61¢ / ask 70¢ |
| At least 7% | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
| At least 5% | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least 15% | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| At least 13% | bid 12¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least 11% | bid 28¢ / ask 37¢ |
Berlin state election: Grüne vote share? — 6 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 20% | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| At least 18% | bid 15¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least 16% | bid 38¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least 14% | bid 69¢ / ask 79¢ |
| At least 12% | bid 82¢ / ask 90¢ |
| At least 10% | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
Berlin state election: AfD vote share? — 6 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 21% | bid 20¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least 19% | bid 40¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least 17% | bid 63¢ / ask 72¢ |
| At least 15% | bid 81¢ / ask 91¢ |
| At least 13% | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least 11% | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
Berlin state election: BSW vote share? — 6 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 6% | — |
| At least 5% | — |
| At least 4% | — |
| At least 3% | last 70¢ (book empty) |
| At least 2% | last 88¢ (book empty) |
| At least 1% | — |
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/11-9/18)?: Above 5.8% (bid 91¢ / ask 92¢) — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:43 AM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 7 events, 70 markets
Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Tracking: VUI Labs, StepFun, SpeechifyAI, SpaceXAI, Smallest.ai, OpenAI, Nvidia, Mistral, MiniMax, Inworld, Google, Fish Audio, ElevenLabs, Cartesia, Async, Amazon, Alibaba
Top Open Source AI this week — 13 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Tracking: Xiaomi, Thinking Machines, OpenAI, Nvidia, Mistral, MiniMax, Meta, Kimi, Google, GLM, DeepSeek, Cohere, Alibaba
Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 outcomes — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SpaceXAI | — |
| Reve | — |
| Recraft | — |
| OpenAI | — |
| Nvidia | — |
| Microsoft | — |
| Krea | — |
| HiDream | — |
| — | |
| Bytedance | — |
| Black Forest Labs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Tracking: Vidu, SpaceXAI, Skywork AI, PixVerse, MiniMax, Lightricks, KlingAI, Google, ByteDance, Alibaba
Open Source market share on Sep 12th — 9 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 12:26 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75% | — |
| Above 72.5% | — |
| Above 70% | — |
| Above 67.5% | — |
| Above 65% | — |
| Above 62.5% | — |
| Above 60% | — |
| Above 57.5% | — |
| Above 55% | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
Open Source market share on Sep 16th — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 12:25 PM ET
Tencent market share this week: Above 7% (bid 35¢ / ask 98¢) — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 4:50 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 16 events, 76 markets
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — 11 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75 | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 4¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 45 | bid 6¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 8¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 35 | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 50¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 87¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 12, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 39.1% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 39.7% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 39.6% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 39.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 39.4% | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 39.3% | bid 73¢ / ask 82¢ |
| 39.2% | bid 12¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 39.1% | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 39.7% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 18, 2026? — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Sherrod Brown | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mary Peltola | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| James Talarico | bid 22¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | bid 4¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Angie Nixon | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | bid 3¢ / ask 67¢ |
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/14 - 9/20) — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| September 20 | bid 10¢ / ask 35¢ |
| September 19 | bid 11¢ / ask 34¢ |
| September 18 | bid 10¢ / ask 29¢ |
| September 17 | bid 10¢ / ask 29¢ |
| September 16 | bid 17¢ / ask 34¢ |
| September 15 | bid 17¢ / ask 34¢ |
| September 14 | bid 14¢ / ask 34¢ |
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/12-9/18) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — 6 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5 | bid 77¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 5¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 6¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 11¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 17¢ / ask 27¢ |
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:50 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 275 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 250 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 46¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 79¢ / ask 89¢ |
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 300 | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 290 | bid 54¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 280 | bid 46¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 270 | bid 71¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above 260 | bid 84¢ / ask 86¢ |
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 6¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 17¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 20¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 24¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 150 | bid 26¢ / ask 84¢ |
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/14-9/20) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4, 3
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (9/13-9/19) — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET
Will the House pass data center power-cost standards?: Yes (bid 80¢ / ask 90¢) — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET
Will data center power-cost standards become law?: Yes (bid 30¢ / ask 40¢) — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET
Will Iceland ban commercial whaling?: Yes (bid 71¢ / ask 80¢) — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/13 - 9/19): Above 0 — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:47 AM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/11-9/18): Above 38.6% (bid 11¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:43 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
1,034 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 📊 Economics | 396 | 26 | CPI-U index in [month], US gas price up, Massachusetts gas price, +23 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 360 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 💹 Financials | 231 | 7 | DJI Hourly, DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT, Weekly DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600, +4 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 32 | 4 | Will Trump do anything today?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, President RCP approval rating this week, +1 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.